Domestic coffee prices

Coffee prices today in the domestic market simultaneously reversed to increase compared to the previous session. According to giacaphe. com, the average coffee price on September 9 remained at 95,600 VND/kg, up 1,300 VND/kg.

In Gia Lai and Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 95,500 VND/kg, an increase of 1,300 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, the listed coffee price is at 95,000 VND/kg, an increase of 1,300 VND/kg.

The old Dak Nong area still maintained the highest price in the whole region, recording a level of 95,800 VND/kg, an increase of 1,300 VND/kg.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 25,750 VND/USD, down 20 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

In the world market, coffee prices increase and decrease according to each term with different exchanges.

According to Barchart, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract today reversed to decrease by 28 USD/ton, anchored at the 3,347 USD/ton mark. In the opposite direction, the November 2026 futures were listed at 3,458 USD/ton, up 53 USD/ton. The term from January 2027 to May 2027 witnessed the highest increase of 57 USD/ton, to 3,420 – 3,446 USD/ton.

On the other hand, the September 2026 Arabica futures contract decreased by 5.8 cents/lb (equivalent to 1.79%), maintaining at the 318.45 cent/lb mark. The December 2026 term decreased by 4.30 cents/lb, bringing the price to the 291.30 cent/lb mark. Further forwards are anchored in the range of 278 – 282.65 cents/lb.

Assessments and forecasts

Arabica coffee contract for December delivery (KCZ26) closed the session on Tuesday down 4.30 cents, equivalent to 1.45%, while robusta ICE coffee for November delivery (RMX26) increased by 53 USD, equivalent to 1.56%.

Coffee prices closed in opposite directions on Tuesday, with Arabica falling to its lowest level in 2 months. Brazil’s increase in coffee exports put pressure on Arabica prices as the Brazilian Ministry of Commerce said coffee exports in August increased by 44.6% year-on-year, to 206,618 tons, the highest level in 8 months.

Robusta coffee prices rose on Tuesday due to forecasts of heavy rain in the Central Highlands of Vietnam, the largest coffee production region in the country, which could flood farms and damage coffee crops.

In Thursday’s session last week, Robusta prices fell to a 3-month low due to signs that coffee supply from Vietnam, the world’s largest Robusta producer, is increasing. The Vietnam National Bureau of Statistics said last Wednesday that Vietnam’s coffee exports in the first 8 months of 2026 increased by 13.7% year-on-year, to 1.33 million tons.

Rainfall higher than normal in Brazil may promote the flowering process for next year’s coffee crop, thereby becoming a factor putting downward pressure on prices.

Meanwhile, the decrease in inventory is a factor supporting Arabica coffee prices, when Arabica inventory at ICE decreased to the 27-year low, to 218,838 bags. Conversely, increased Robusta inventory is a factor putting pressure on prices when Robusta inventory at ICE increased to the highest level in 9.25 months, reaching 5,004 lots.

Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.

The euro remains in an uptrend.

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

• USCrude: Oil is rising toward the Target Zone 2 at 94.49–93.68.
• XAUUSD: Gold is still under bearish pressure.
• EURUSD: The euro is approaching the first bullish target of 1.1642.

Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis

Oil continues to trade in a short-term uptrend. The price is climbing toward the Target Zone of 2 at 94.49–93.68. Consider long trades once the price pulls back to the support zone A of 87.61–87.17, with the first target at 89.57 and a second one around 91.97.

USCrude Trading Ideas for Today:

Buy near support A of 87.61–87.17. TakeProfit: 89.57, 91.97. StopLoss: 86.11.

---

Gold Forecast for Today: XAUUSD Analysis

Gold is maintaining a short-term downtrend. Bears are holding the price below the resistance zone B of 4,451–4,436. Thus, consider holding short trades until the first target of 4,367 is reached. If the price breaks below this level, the next bearish target will be at 4,282.

The price should break above the 4,464 level to create buying opportunities and reverse the trend.

XAUUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold short trades opened at resistance B of 4,451–4,436. TakeProfit: 4,367, 4,282. StopLoss: 4,472.

---

Euro/Dollar Forecast for Today: EURUSD Analysis

The euro is trading in an uptrend and is approaching the first bullish target of 1.1642. If the price pierces this level and settles above it, the next target will be the August high of 1.1711. Should the asset exceed the August high, it may climb further toward the Target Zone 2 of 1.1761–1.1744.

If the euro price breaks below the key support of 1.1585–1.1572 within the short-term uptrend, one may consider short trades the next trading day, aiming for the lower Target Zone of 1.1459–1.1434.

EURUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold long trades opened near support B of 1.1585–1.1572. TakeProfit: 1.1642, 1.1711. StopLoss: 1.1579.

---

Would you like to learn more about technical analysis methods and principles? Explore our comprehensive guide.

---

P.S. Did you like my article? Share it in social networks: it will be the best “thank you” 🙂

Useful links:

• I recommend trying to trade with a reliable broker here. The system allows you to trade by yourself or copy successful traders from all across the globe.
• Use my promo code BLOG to get a 50% deposit bonus on the LiteFinance platform. Simply enter this code in the appropriate field when funding your trading account.
• Telegram chat for traders: https://t.me/litefinancebrokerchat. We are sharing the signals and trading experience.
• Telegram channel with high-quality analytics, Forex reviews, training articles, and other useful things for traders https://t.me/litefinance

Price chart of EURUSD in real time mode

 

 

No escape for natural gas price from forming new bullish waves, due to the positive factors that are represented by the stability above the main support level at $2.620, besides providing positive momentum by stochastic in the current period.

 

And that confirms targeting more positive stations, reaching the initial target at $3.100, attempting to press on the barrier near $3.250 to find an exit for recording extra gains in the upcoming period.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $2.860 and $3.100

 

Trend forecast: Bullish

Domestic coffee prices

Coffee prices today in the domestic market simultaneously decreased compared to the previous session. According to giacaphe. com, coffee prices on September 8th averaged at 94. 300 VND/kg, down 500 VND/kg.

In Gia Lai and Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 94. 200 VND/kg, down 500 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, the listed coffee price is at 93.700 VND/kg, down 500 VND/kg.

The old Dak Nong area still maintained the highest price in the whole region, recording a level of 94,500 VND/kg, down 500 VND/kg.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 25,770 VND/USD, down 70 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

In the world market, coffee prices increase and decrease according to each term with different exchanges.

According to Barchart, the September 2026 Robusta contract increased by another 56 USD/ton, anchored at the 3,400 USD/ton mark. In the opposite direction, the November 2026 term was listed at 3,405 USD/ton, down 25 USD/ton. The term from January 2027 to May 2027 saw the largest decrease of 21 USD/ton, down to 3,363 – 3,394 USD/ton.

On the other hand, the September 2026 Arabica futures contract slightly decreased by 0.1 cent/lb (equivalent to 0.03%), maintaining at the 324.25 cent/lb mark. The December 2026 term increased slightly by 0.25 cent/lb, keeping the price at 295.60 cent/lb. Further forwards are anchored in the 287.4 – 285.05 cent/lb range.

Assessments and forecasts

According to the Vietnam Coffee – Cocoa Association (Vicofa), in the first 8 months of 2026, Vietnam’s coffee exports reached nearly 1.7 million tons, worth more than 6 billion USD, an increase of more than 10% in volume, but a decrease of 11.2% in value compared to the same period in 2025 due to reduced export prices.

The EU and the United States continue to be the key export markets for Vietnamese coffee. In addition, some markets in Asia, especially China, are opening up new growth poles for the industry.

According to forecasts, coffee prices tend to increase in the coming time, thanks to the support of many factors such as climate change with heavy rainfall slowing down harvest time in Brazil; El Nino, hot sun, drought will occur in Asia at the end of 2026 and 2027, which may affect coffee production and supply; low inventory.

The biggest downward pressure currently comes from the world’s largest coffee producer, Brazil.

The 2026/27 Arabica crop harvest in this country was almost completed by the end of August thanks to dry weather conditions helping to accelerate progress.

According to the latest forecast from brokerage company StoneX, Brazil’s output this crop year may reach a record level of 77.2 million bags, up 2.6% compared to the forecast in March. Brazil’s export growth also recorded a breakthrough, as the country’s government announced exports in August reached 3.44 million bags, up 45% compared to the same period last year.

Goldman Sachs has raised its Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price forecasts by $5 a barrel for December 2026 and 2027, citing expectations that shipping disruptions in the Middle East will persist into next year, Reuters reported.

The bank said Brent crude could rise above $120 a barrel in 2027 if average oil production in the Gulf remains 4 million barrels per day below pre-war levels. That compares with Goldman Sachs’ base-case assumption of a 500,000-barrel-per-day shortfall.

However, the bank also outlined a significantly lower-price scenario. Brent could fall into the $60s a barrel in 2027 if average Gulf oil production rises by 1 million barrels per day above pre-war levels, according to the Reuters report.

Oil prices have recently climbed to a six-week high as renewed conflict in the Middle East heightened concerns over potential supply disruptions. Iran has also threatened the United States with economic retaliation, adding to fears that the conflict could escalate further.

The six-month-old war has been characterised by periods of calm followed by renewed flare-ups, keeping energy markets on edge. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has also slowed sharply, with an average of only 10 commodity ships passing through the key waterway each day over the past 10 days, the lowest level since May, shipping data showed on Monday.

Read more: Global Market Today: Asia stocks waver as yen surges, Iran warns of retaliation

Goldman Sachs said the increase in its price forecasts remained relatively modest despite its assumption that shipping disruptions would continue. Reuters reported that the bank pointed to limited drawdowns in OECD commercial oil inventories since the conflict began and its expectation that Middle Eastern producers would continue adapting supply flows.The Strait of Hormuz is a critical route for global energy shipments, and prolonged disruption could tighten crude supplies and put upward pressure on prices. The extent of the impact, however, will depend heavily on the duration of the conflict, the pace at which Gulf production recovers and the ability of producers and traders to redirect supplies.

Read more: Global Market: China insurer recapitalisation may ease capital constraints and support stock investments

Goldman Sachs’ scenarios highlight the wide range of possible outcomes for crude prices in 2027, with prolonged supply losses potentially pushing Brent above $120 a barrel, while a stronger-than-expected recovery in Gulf production could send prices down toward the $60s.

From a fundamental perspective, WTI has continued to climb recently, with the core driver remaining Middle East crude supply risks stemming from the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict. As both sides launch a new round of actions targeting oil tankers and related military targets, market focus has shifted from pure geopolitical tension to whether the conflict will further affect shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and crude oil exports from the Persian Gulf.

Recently, the number of commodity vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped noticeably, while safety and insurance risks facing commercial oil tankers have risen in tandem. Given that the Strait of Hormuz handles a substantial portion of global oil transport, if traffic remains persistently below normal levels, even if crude exports are not completely disrupted, the market will need to price in a higher risk premium for potential supply losses.

Meanwhile, OPEC+ decided to maintain its existing production policy unchanged in October, pausing its previous streak of consecutive output increases. This means that amid rising supply uncertainty in the Middle East, the short-term buffer of additional supply from OPEC+ is reduced, providing further support to oil prices.

However, WTI has already risen rapidly from near $80 in late August to above $92, with some geopolitical risk already priced in. Whether oil prices can further challenge $97 or even $100 going forward will depend critically on the actual shipping conditions in the Strait of Hormuz and whether Middle East crude experiences more pronounced supply losses.

If attacks on commercial tankers expand further, or if energy facilities such as major oil fields and export terminals are affected, WTI could still continue to move higher; conversely, if signals of negotiations or a ceasefire emerge between the U.S. and Iran and shipping recovers, the current elevated risk premium could rapidly recede.

WTI crude oil price daily chart, source: TradingView

Looking at the daily chart of WTI crude oil prices, driven by the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, oil prices recently rose from $80 to a high of $93.29. The short-term candlestick structure shows a distinct pattern of continuously higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the short-term uptrend remains intact. Meanwhile, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages sequentially crossed above the 144-day moving average, forming a golden cross structure and further strengthening short-term bullish momentum.

Currently, oil prices today advanced to just below the July 23 rebound high of $93.50, increasing short-term upside pressure. If oil prices can effectively break through and hold above $93.50, it will open up upside space toward $97.00. Further up, prices could test the $100 mark and even challenge $105.

On the downside, the primary support level to watch below is the $91-$90 range. If oil prices fall below $90, they may further test support near $87.70 down below; if the decline continues, they could test support at the 20-day moving average.

This content was translated using AI and reviewed for clarity. It is for informational purposes only.

Domestic coffee prices

Coffee prices today in the domestic market simultaneously unexpectedly remained unchanged compared to the previous session. According to giacaphe. com, the average coffee price on September 7 remained at 94,800 VND/kg.

In Gia Lai and Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 94,700 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, the listed coffee price is at 94. 200 VND/kg.

The old Dak Nong area still maintained the highest price in the whole region, recording 95,000 VND/kg.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 25,840 VND/USD, down 5 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

In the world market, coffee prices fluctuated in the same direction as all terms did not adjust.

According to Barchart, the September 2026 Robusta contract remained unchanged, anchored at the $3,344/ton mark. The November 2026 term was listed at $3,430/ton. The term from January 2027 to May 2027 saw an increase from $55-57/ton, to $3,383 – $3,415/ton.

Similarly, the September 2026 Arabica futures contract closed the session at 324.25 cents/lb. The December 2026 term held the price at 295.60 cents/lb. Further forwards were anchored in the 287.4 – 283.4 cents/lb range.

Assessments and forecasts

The London and New York exchanges entered the first trading session of the new week with the foundation being a slight technical recovery from the previous week’s closing session. The 3,400 USD/ton zone of Robusta for November 2026 futures temporarily played a good role as a short-term psychological support level.

Meanwhile, weather factors continue to dominate the New York Stock Exchange. The rainfall diễn biến in Minas Gerais and São Paulo (Brazil) states in the early days of September is still not thick enough to completely relieve concerns about drought for the main flowering stage. This helps New York limit the deep decline, fluctuating accumulation around the 295 cent/lb mark.

Supply and demand keep domestic pepper prices stable above the 94,000 VND/kg mark. According to statistics, the volume of coffee exports in the first 8 months of 2026 reached about 1.3 million tons with a value of 6 billion USD, an increase of 13.1% in volume but a decrease of 9.1% in value compared to the same period in 2025. The average export price reached 4,538 USD/ton, down 19.7%, showing that price decreases are significantly impacting turnover even though export volume is increasing.

GBPAUD faced new bearish pressures due to the stability of stochastic stability within the oversold level, to push it to break the support level at 1.8830 and providing negative closes, to suffer new losses by reaching 1.8740 level.

 

The stability below the broken support will increase the efficiency of the bearish scenario in the near trading, to expect reaching 1.8675 and surpassing this barrier might extend the trading towards the next station that is represented by 1.8585.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 1.8675 and 1.8810

 

Trend forecast: Bearish