Bitcoin prediction: Grayscale is pushing back against predictions of a prolonged Bitcoin (BTC) price crash, suggesting that the cryptocurrency’s next rally could surpass previous records, as per a report.

Why Bitcoin’s 32% Drop Is Part of a Normal Bull-Market Cycle

In its November market commentary, published Monday, Grayscale noted that Bitcoin’s recent 32% decline from its October peak is consistent with historical bull-market pullbacks, reported Benzinga.

According to the firm, Bitcoin has experienced drops of 10% or more roughly 50 times since 2010, making sharp declines a normal feature of its cycles.

The research team emphasized that investors often underestimate how common such moves are, even during strong cycles. Grayscale does not anticipate a drawn-out 2–3-year downturn similar to past cyclical declines.

ALSO READ: Record $8 trillion in US money-market funds: Why investors keep pouring in amid Fed rate cuts

How Today’s Market Structure Differs from Past Bitcoin Cycles

The firm highlighted that the current market structure, influenced by exchange-traded products and corporate digital asset treasuries, differs from previous cycles and reduces the relevance of the traditional four-year price rhythm tied to Bitcoin halving events.

Unlike earlier cycles, the current market has not seen a parabolic rally, which historically preceded multi-year crashes. This moderation, combined with evolving market participation, supports a more constructive outlook for 2025 and 2026.

Signs BTC USD Could Be Nearing a Market Bottom

Grayscale also pointed to hedging activity and on-chain signals as potential signs of a bottoming effort. Bitcoin put-option skew remains elevated across three- and six-month tenors, indicating active downside hedging, a pattern historically observed near market lows.

However, Grayscale cautioned that short-term indicators remain mixed. Futures open interest has declined, and exchange-traded product flows were negative for most of November. On-chain data also showed a spike in Coin Days Destroyed, suggesting movement of older Bitcoin held by long-term investors.

According to Grayscale, a clearer bottom may require stabilization in flows, open interest, and a slowdown in selling by longstanding holders.

ALSO READ: Crypto gets the green light — BofA pushes 1–4% allocation for wealthy investors

Digital Asset Treasuries Trading at Discounts

The firm noted that major digital asset treasuries are trading at discounts to their net asset values, reflecting reduced speculative exposure.

Privacy Coins Outperform: Zcash, Monero, and Decred Lead the Gains

Meanwhile, privacy-focused cryptocurrencies outperformed the broader market in November. Zcash (ZEC), Monero (XMR), and Decred (DCR) posted double-digit gains, driven by increased developer activity around privacy tools on the Ethereum ecosystem.

Grayscale highlighted privacy as a growing theme for the next stage of digital asset utility, supported by new frameworks and Layer-2 developments.

SEC-Compliant ETFs Expand Institutional Access to Major Cryptos

The firm also noted that XRP and Dogecoin exchange-traded products began trading under new SEC listing standards, expanding institutional access to large-cap tokens and broadening the universe of regulated products.

Macroeconomic Factors Likely to Support Bitcoin Through 2026

Looking ahead, Grayscale said the macroeconomic backdrop may continue to support crypto through 2026. Investors are watching the Federal Reserve’s December 10 meeting for a potential rate cut, which could lower real interest rates, weigh on the US Dollar, and support alternative assets like Bitcoin.

Additionally, ongoing bipartisan efforts on crypto market-structure legislation could attract further institutional capital if progress continues, as per the Benzinga report.

FAQs

What makes this Bitcoin cycle different from previous ones?
More corporate treasuries, regulated exchange-traded products, and no parabolic rally so far reduce the risk of a prolonged crash.

How are institutional investors influencing Bitcoin?
Corporate treasuries and regulated ETFs are providing stability and reducing speculative exposure.

With momentum weakening and macro pressure resurfacing, analysts are closely monitoring this interaction to determine whether the pattern resembles past capitulation zones or the early stages of a structural reversal.

As of December 2, 2025, DOGE briefly dipped to $0.14 before recovering modestly. GreenyTrades noted that the wick below support “resembles previous deep retracements where buyers eventually regained control,” though he emphasised that current conditions do not yet confirm a trend reversal. His analysis shows Dogecoin still moving within a long-term downtrend from late 2024 highs, with the 0.786 level—near $0.14—acting as a structural area where historical reversals have tended to occur in fast-moving markets.

For readers tracking dogecoin price prediction models, this zone has become a focal point—not as a guarantee of reversal, but as a meaningful technical reference point within the present cycle.

Short-Term Pressure but Technical Bounce Attempts Continue

A separate 4-hour chart from analyst and educator @TATrader_Alan, who frequently publishes pattern-based interpretations for crypto traders, highlights a short-lived rebound from the lower boundary of a descending channel. RSI briefly fell below 30, an area commonly viewed as oversold in traditional technical frameworks. Dogecoin traded near $0.14 on December 2, a recovery from the prior daily low of $0.132 before renewed selling pressure emerged.

Dogecoin is approaching its 0.786 retracement level, effectively retesting the April tariff-driven market dip. Source: @greenytrades via X

Alan, who regularly analyses Wyckoff-style accumulation setups, mentioned that Bitcoin’s stability above $90,000 “has helped maintain confidence” across meme assets, though he cautioned that such support does not override the broader downtrend. While Alan’s commentary provides useful community insight, his observations—like most social-charting content—represent interpretive views rather than formal dogecoin price predictions.

Short-term indicators remain mixed. Spot volume has been fluctuating, open interest has declined since the October washout, and sentiment trackers such as LunarCrush show unstable social engagement levels. These data points reinforce that Dogecoin’s near-term direction remains uncertain.

Market Weakness and Multi-Month Range Expectations

Dogecoin’s sharp decline on October 10—when it fell nearly 63% during a swift, market-wide correction—continues to shape its current structure. Despite recovering part of that move, order-book data from several exchanges show inconsistent buy-side depth, suggesting a cautious environment among traders. Dogecoin trades around $0.14, reflecting partial stabilisation but not sustained demand.

Some market analysts expect the price to consolidate between $0.11 and $0.24, a range that has captured most trading activity over recent months. At present, there is limited evidence supporting aggressive upside scenarios, and many dogecoin price prediction 2025 models project a gradual, not parabolic, recovery.

Market Cycles and Long-Term Structural Signals

Dogecoin’s multi-year cycle structure remains an ongoing topic in the crypto analysis community. A widely shared TradingView comparison examines Dogecoin’s historical price patterns between 2014 and 2022 and overlays them with the current market phase. The creator—who specialises in cycle analysis within crypto communities—labels the emerging pattern as “Cycle 3,” noting visual similarities between the 2020 consolidation and today’s structure.

Dogecoin is stabilising near $0.15 after a 63% October selloff, but with weak buyer presence, it may continue ranging between $0.11 and $0.24 for months unless stronger demand emerges near $0.11. Source: soheilbakhshipor12 on TradingView

The model suggests a possible slow buildup heading toward 2026–2027, though the analyst explicitly stated that “cycle overlays are interpretive and not predictive.” In other words, these comparisons offer historical context rather than actionable dogecoin predictions. Cycle models have mixed success across crypto markets and are sensitive to broader conditions such as liquidity, macroeconomic shifts, and Bitcoin’s trajectory.

Short-Term Technical Indicators and Trader Setups

On shorter timeframes, Dogecoin continues to move within a descending channel, with RSI readings returning to neutral after last week’s oversold dip. The price has hovered around support near $0.14, an area where past intraday bounces have occurred. Market data shows that liquidity thins above the $0.16 region, which may explain recent rejection wicks around that level.

Dogecoin is rebounding from the bottom of its descending channel on the 4-hour chart, with RSI signalling oversold conditions. Source: @TATrader_Alan via X

A widely circulated trading example on social media suggests that some traders are watching for a potential breakout above the Kijun-sen at $0.1510. The creator of the chart advised waiting for confirmation to reduce the possibility of false signals—a common principle in technical trading education. These setups, however, are interpretive and should not be viewed as recommendations or forecasts.

The broader picture shows that Dogecoin remains sensitive to shifts in short-term volatility, with futures funding rates moving in and out of neutral territory throughout the week. This suggests an indecisive market rather than a directional one.

Fundamental Drivers and Sentiment Factors

Beyond price charts, Dogecoin faces several structural factors that continue to shape its long-term outlook. Unlike capped cryptocurrencies, Dogecoin maintains an uncapped supply model, introducing new coins into circulation indefinitely. Analysts who model long-term value often note that this structure requires consistent or expanding demand to sustain price levels. This characteristic frequently emerges in discussions around “how much is Dogecoin worth” from a valuation perspective.

Sentiment remains a major driver. According to Chainalysis’ 2025 Spotlight on Meme Assets, a significant portion of short-term volatility in meme tokens arises from social momentum rather than fundamental catalysts. The firm notes that rapid shifts in community engagement—whether from influencers, viral posts, or broader market fear—can move prices more sharply than on-chain metrics.

Meanwhile, the recently launched Dogecoin ETFs from Bitwise and Grayscale have not yet generated notable institutional inflows. Analysts caution that while these products improve market accessibility, early data show a limited impact on the dogecoin price today.

Final Thoughts

Dogecoin’s approach to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level marks a technically meaningful moment for the cryptocurrency. While this area has historically been associated with trend exhaustion in volatile markets, current indicators show a cautious environment marked by inconsistent liquidity, fragile sentiment, and unresolved macro uncertainty.

Dogecoin was trading at around $0.14, down 5.50% in the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

For long-term observers, the deeper retracement may offer insight into where market participants are reassessing risk. For traders, the lack of directional conviction suggests a period of elevated volatility but limited clarity. And for those following broader crypto cycles, historical comparisons can provide context—but not certainty—on what comes next.

Dogecoin remains one of the most closely watched digital assets, supported by a large and active community. Whether this phase becomes the early stage of a longer recovery or simply part of a multi-month consolidation will depend on broader market catalysts in the months ahead.

BitcoinWorld

Cardano Price Prediction: Will ADA Explode to $2 by 2030?

Cardano’s ADA token has captured the attention of the cryptocurrency world, not just for its technological promise but for its potential financial returns. As investors look toward the future, one question dominates: Will ADA price hit $2? This comprehensive analysis provides a detailed Cardano price prediction from 2025 through 2030, examining the technical foundations, market dynamics, and expert forecasts that will determine ADA’s trajectory. Whether you’re a seasoned crypto investor or just beginning to explore digital assets, understanding these predictions could be crucial for your portfolio strategy.

Understanding Cardano’s Foundation for Growth

Before diving into specific price predictions, it’s essential to understand what drives Cardano’s value. Unlike many cryptocurrencies that launched with minimal development, Cardano took a research-first approach under the leadership of Charles Hoskinson, co-founder of Ethereum. The platform’s layered architecture separates settlement and computation, allowing for more flexible upgrades and enhanced security. This technical robustness forms the bedrock of any serious Cardano price prediction.

Key factors influencing ADA’s valuation include:

• Network adoption and active addresses
• Development activity and protocol upgrades
• Decentralized application ecosystem growth
• Staking participation and yield rates
• Overall cryptocurrency market sentiment

Cardano Price Prediction 2025: The Next Bull Run Catalyst

Most analysts agree that 2025 could be a pivotal year for Cardano. With the cryptocurrency market historically following four-year cycles tied to Bitcoin halving events, the period following the 2024 halving typically sees increased market activity. Our Cardano forecast for 2025 considers both technical milestones and market conditions.

Several developments could propel ADA in 2025:

Based on current growth patterns and historical data, conservative estimates place ADA between $1.20 and $1.80 by the end of 2025. More optimistic projections, assuming strong market conditions and successful protocol upgrades, suggest a potential range of $1.50 to $2.20.

ADA Price Trajectory Through 2026-2028

The mid-term outlook for Cardano depends heavily on ecosystem maturity. Between 2026 and 2028, the focus shifts from technological development to real-world adoption. The ADA price during this period will reflect how successfully the platform transitions from promise to practical utility.

Critical questions for this phase include:

• Will enterprise adoption meet expectations?
• Can Cardano’s DeFi ecosystem compete with established platforms?
• How will regulatory developments impact blockchain projects?
• What market share will Cardano capture in the smart contract space?

Realistic projections suggest gradual growth, with potential consolidation periods. By 2028, if Cardano achieves its roadmap goals and maintains technological relevance, ADA could establish a new baseline between $2.50 and $4.00, assuming overall crypto market expansion continues.

Cardano 2030: Long-Term Vision and Price Potential

Looking toward 2030 requires considering both blockchain evolution and macroeconomic factors. By this point, blockchain technology should be more integrated into global systems, and Cardano’s emphasis on sustainability and academic rigor could position it favorably. Our Cardano 2030 analysis examines several scenarios.

The most optimistic scenario assumes:

• Widespread institutional adoption of blockchain technology
• Cardano becoming a leading platform for government and enterprise solutions
• Successful implementation of all roadmap phases
• Favorable global regulatory environment

In this scenario, ADA could reach between $5 and $10 by 2030. More conservative estimates, accounting for potential challenges and increased competition, suggest a range of $3 to $6. The $2 milestone, which seems ambitious today, would likely be surpassed well before 2030 in most credible growth scenarios.

Will ADA Price Hit $2? The Critical Analysis

The question of whether ADA price will hit $2 dominates current discussions. Based on our analysis, this target is not only achievable but likely within the next few years. The more relevant question becomes: When will it happen, and what will sustain that price level?

Several catalysts could drive ADA to and beyond $2:

Historical data shows that ADA has previously approached the $3 mark during peak market conditions. With continued development and adoption, reclaiming and sustaining the $2 level appears increasingly probable.

Risks and Challenges in Cardano’s Path

No Cardano price prediction would be complete without acknowledging potential obstacles. The cryptocurrency market remains volatile and influenced by numerous external factors. Regulatory uncertainty, particularly regarding proof-of-stake assets, could impact ADA’s trajectory. Technological competition from platforms like Ethereum, Solana, and emerging layer-1 solutions presents ongoing challenges.

Additionally, execution risk remains—delays in roadmap implementation or failure to achieve promised scalability could dampen investor enthusiasm. Market-wide factors, including macroeconomic conditions, interest rate policies, and geopolitical events, will inevitably influence all cryptocurrency prices, including ADA.

Expert Opinions and Market Sentiment

Various analysts and platforms have published their own Cardano forecast models. While predictions vary, consensus suggests cautious optimism. Technical analysis often points to key resistance levels that, if broken, could trigger significant upward movement. Fundamental analysts emphasize Cardano’s methodical development approach as a long-term strength.

Notably, predictions from platforms like Coinbase, Binance Research, and independent analysts generally align in expecting gradual appreciation with potential for accelerated growth during bullish market phases. The diversity of opinions underscores the importance of conducting personal research and considering multiple perspectives before making investment decisions.

Investment Strategies for ADA

Based on our Cardano price prediction analysis, several strategic approaches emerge. Dollar-cost averaging—regularly investing fixed amounts regardless of price—can mitigate timing risk in volatile markets. Staking ADA provides yield while supporting network security. Portfolio diversification remains crucial, as even promising assets like Cardano carry inherent risks.

Investors should consider:

• Investment horizon aligning with prediction timeframes
• Risk tolerance given cryptocurrency volatility
• Portfolio allocation percentages
• Exit strategies for various scenarios

FAQs: Cardano Price Prediction

What is the highest price Cardano could reach by 2025?
Most analysts project a range between $1.20 and $2.20 by the end of 2025, with the higher end dependent on strong market conditions and successful protocol upgrades.

Who founded Cardano and how does it affect the price?
Cardano was founded by Charles Hoskinson, who also co-founded Ethereum. His vision and leadership influence development direction and investor confidence, indirectly affecting price through network growth and adoption.

How does Cardano’s technology compare to competitors?
Cardano uses a research-driven, peer-reviewed approach to development. Its Ouroboros proof-of-stake protocol and layered architecture differentiate it from competitors like Ethereum and Solana. Technological advantages can drive long-term value if successfully implemented and adopted.

What are the main risks for Cardano investors?
Key risks include regulatory changes, technological execution challenges, intense competition from other blockchain platforms, and overall cryptocurrency market volatility. Investors should assess these factors alongside potential rewards.

Where can I buy and stake ADA?
ADA is available on major exchanges including Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken. Staking can be done through these platforms or via Cardano-native wallets like Daedalus or Yoroi.

Conclusion: The Path Forward for Cardano

Our comprehensive analysis suggests that Cardano’s ADA has a plausible path toward and beyond the $2 milestone within the coming years. The combination of continued technological development, ecosystem growth, and favorable market conditions creates multiple scenarios where this target becomes reality. While the exact timing remains uncertain, the fundamental case for Cardano’s appreciation appears stronger than many realize.

The journey won’t be linear—expect volatility, corrections, and periods of consolidation. Yet for investors with appropriate risk tolerance and time horizon, Cardano represents one of the more compelling opportunities in the blockchain space. The key lies in balancing optimism about Cardano’s potential with realistic assessment of market dynamics and personal investment goals.

To learn more about the latest cryptocurrency market trends, explore our articles on key developments shaping blockchain technology adoption and digital asset valuation in the evolving financial landscape.

This post Cardano Price Prediction: Will ADA Explode to $2 by 2030? first appeared on BitcoinWorld.