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1
04, 2026
1
04, 2026
Technical Analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD for Today (April 1, 2026)
Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for the USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.
Oil prices are rapidly pulling back.
The article covers the following subjects:
Major Takeaways
- USCrude: Today, oil broke below the support A at 97.91–97.37 and declined to the support B at 95.18–94.36.
- XAUUSD: Gold has pierced the Target Zone at 4,689–4,635 and may rise further.
- EURUSD: The euro is once again testing the resistance B at 1.1589–1.1572.
Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis
Yesterday, oil tested the support A at 97.91–97.37 during a correction within the short-term uptrend. Bulls managed to keep the price above this zone. As a result, the asset hit the first bullish target of 100.38 during the European trading session.
Today, the oil price dropped and reached the support B at 95.18–94.36, the trend boundary. Long trades can be considered near this zone, with the first target at 98.88 and the second one around 103.39. If the price settles below the support B, the short-term trend will turn bearish.
USCrude Trading Ideas for Today:
Watch the market.
Gold Forecast for Today: XAUUSD Analysis
Yesterday, gold continued its short-term uptrend, reaching the Target Zone at 4,689–4,635. Today, the price is trying to break above this zone. If so, the next bullish target will be the Gold Zone at 4,832–4,814.
If a correction begins, the metal may fall to the support A at 4,570–4,555. Once this support is tested, consider long trades with the first target at 4,640 and the second one at today’s high.
The trend boundary is shifting to 4,494–4,471.
XAUUSD Trading Ideas for Today:
Buy near support A at 4,570–4,555. TakeProfit: 4,640, 4,724. StopLoss: 4,516.
Euro/Dollar Forecast for Today: EURUSD Analysis
The euro is declining and has once again touched the key resistance of the short-term downtrend at 1.1589–1.1572. If the price breaks above this zone, the trend will turn bullish. In this case, consider long trades on the next trading day, with a target in the upper Target Zone of 1.1767–1.1734. The asset should surpass last week’s high to confirm the breakout.
If the EURUSD pair remains below the resistance B today, short trades can be considered with the first target at 1.1500 and the second one in the Gold Zone 2 at 1.1423–1.1412.
EURUSD Trading Ideas for Today:
Watch the market.
Would you like to learn more about technical analysis methods and principles? Explore our comprehensive guide.
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Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode
The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.
According to copyright law, this article is considered intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on copying and distributing it without consent.
1
04, 2026
The GBPJPY repeats the negative closes– Forecast today – 1-4-2026
Platinum price attempted to exit the bearish track, by surpassing the minor bearish channel’s resistance at $1940.00, facing the moving average 55, forming an extra barrier at $1980.00, which forces it to provide weak sideways fluctuation by its stability near $1950.00.
The stability below the moving average 55 will increase the chances of its return to the negative track, to reach $1865.00 and $1810.00, while its success by surpassing the moving average 55 and holding above it will open the way towards recording extra gains that might extend in the initial period towards $2040.00 and 2090.00.
The expected trading range for today is between $1865.00 and $1980.00
Trend forecast: Bearish by the stability of the barrier
1
04, 2026
Natural Gas Price Forecast: Support Under Pressure, Reversal Risk Builds
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1
04, 2026
Remains above 183.50 to test nine-day EMA barrier
EUR/JPY extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 183.60 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the currency cross moves sideways within the ascending triangle pattern, reflecting buying pressure.
The near-term bias is mildly bullish as the EUR/PY cross holds above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), continuing to offer a rising trend base. The nine-day EMA remains above the 50-day EMA, keeping a short-term positive alignment despite the recent consolidation under the 184.00 area.
Momentum is balanced, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering close to the 50 mid-line after recovering from last week’s dip, which points to stabilizing demand rather than aggressive buying pressure.
The EUR/JPY cross is testing the immediate barrier at the nine-day EMA of 183.70, followed by the upper ascending triangle boundary around 184.60. Further advances above the triangle would reinforce the bullish bias and lead the currency cross to explore the region around the all-time high of 186.88, reached on January 23.
On the downside, the primary support lies at the 50-day EMA at 183.36, followed by the lower boundary of the ascending triangle around 182.70. A break below the channel would expose the three-month low of 180.81, recorded on February 12.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.09% | -0.09% | 0.10% | -0.03% | -0.05% | 0.17% | -0.21% | |
| EUR | 0.09% | -0.01% | 0.18% | 0.06% | 0.05% | 0.28% | -0.11% | |
| GBP | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.19% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.29% | -0.09% | |
| JPY | -0.10% | -0.18% | -0.19% | -0.11% | -0.10% | 0.09% | -0.25% | |
| CAD | 0.03% | -0.06% | -0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.20% | -0.18% | |
| AUD | 0.05% | -0.05% | -0.06% | 0.10% | -0.01% | 0.22% | -0.15% | |
| NZD | -0.17% | -0.28% | -0.29% | -0.09% | -0.20% | -0.22% | -0.37% | |
| CHF | 0.21% | 0.11% | 0.09% | 0.25% | 0.18% | 0.15% | 0.37% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
1
04, 2026
XAG/USD Stages Dramatic Recovery, Surges Past $76.00 Milestone
BitcoinWorld
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Stages Dramatic Recovery, Surges Past $76.00 Milestone
Global commodity markets witnessed a significant reversal on Thursday as the silver price forecast turned bullish, with XAG/USD staging a dramatic recovery from a one-month low to climb decisively back above the critical $76.00 threshold. This sharp rebound, observed in early London trading, signals a potential shift in sentiment for the precious metal following a period of sustained pressure from a strengthening US dollar and elevated Treasury yields. Market analysts now scrutinize whether this move represents a technical correction or the beginning of a more sustained uptrend for silver, which serves as both a monetary metal and a crucial industrial commodity.
Silver Price Forecast: Analyzing the Technical Rebound
The recovery in the silver price forecast above $76.00 marks a pivotal moment for XAG/USD. Consequently, this move invalidated the immediate bearish trajectory that had dominated charts for the past four weeks. Technical analysts point to the $74.50 level as a key support zone that held firm against selling pressure. Furthermore, the subsequent rally demonstrated strong buying interest, propelling the metal through several short-term resistance levels in rapid succession. The daily chart now shows a clear bullish engulfing pattern, a classic reversal signal that often precedes further gains.
Several technical indicators have concurrently turned positive. For instance, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has rebounded from near-oversold territory below 30 back towards the 50 midline. Meanwhile, trading volume during the ascent was notably higher than during the preceding decline, confirming the strength behind the move. The following table outlines key technical levels that traders are monitoring following this recovery:
| Level | Type | Significance |
|---|---|---|
| $78.20 | Resistance | Previous swing high & 50-day MA |
| $76.00 | Support/Resistance | Psychological round number |
| $74.50 | Support | Recent low & congestion zone |
| $72.80 | Support | 200-day Moving Average |
Fundamental Drivers Behind the XAG/USD Recovery
Beyond technical factors, fundamental developments provided the catalyst for the improved silver price forecast. Primarily, a modest retreat in the US Dollar Index (DXY) from multi-week highs alleviated immediate pressure on dollar-denominated commodities like silver. Simultaneously, a slight pullback in benchmark 10-year Treasury yields made non-yielding assets marginally more attractive. However, the most significant driver appears to be renewed focus on silver’s industrial demand profile, which distinguishes it from purely monetary assets like gold.
Recent data from key sectors underpins this demand narrative. For example, global photovoltaic (PV) solar panel installations continue to accelerate, consuming substantial amounts of silver paste. Additionally, the ongoing expansion of 5G infrastructure and electric vehicle production sustains demand for silver in electronics and automotive applications. These structural demand factors create a price floor that often triggers buying during dips, as evidenced by the recovery from $74.50. Market participants also noted positioning data showing that managed money funds had built substantial short positions in silver futures, setting the stage for a short-covering rally when sentiment shifted.
Expert Analysis on Macroeconomic Crosscurrents
Financial institutions offer a measured perspective on the silver price forecast. Analysts at several major banks emphasize the metal’s dual nature during the current economic climate. “Silver is navigating a complex environment,” notes a commodity strategist from a leading European bank, whose research is frequently cited by the World Silver Survey. “Monetary headwinds from a hawkish Federal Reserve are counterbalanced by robust physical offtake from green energy technologies. This dichotomy explains the metal’s volatility and its capacity for rapid reversals, like the one we see today.”
Furthermore, geopolitical tensions continue to influence precious metals flows. Central bank diversification efforts, though more focused on gold, contribute to a supportive backdrop for the entire sector. Inventory data from major exchanges like the COMEX and the Shanghai Gold Exchange will be crucial to monitor in coming weeks to determine if this price recovery is attracting fresh physical investment or merely representing paper market speculation.
Comparative Performance and Market Context
The silver price forecast recovery also highlights its relationship with other assets. Notably, the gold-silver ratio—a key metric watched by precious metals investors—contracted slightly during the move, though it remains at historically elevated levels above 80. This suggests silver may have room for further outperformance relative to gold if risk appetite continues to improve. Compared to industrial metals like copper, silver’s recovery was more pronounced, potentially indicating its safe-haven characteristics are re-emerging alongside its industrial narrative.
Key factors that supported the rebound include:
- Dollar Weakness: A pause in the USD rally removed a major headwind.
- Technical Oversold Conditions: The decline to $74.50 reached extreme levels.
- Industrial Demand Resilience: Persistent signals from green energy sectors.
- Positioning Squeeze: Excessive short positions required covering.
Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve’s policy trajectory remains the dominant macro variable. Any signals of a less aggressive tightening cycle could further weaken the dollar and support the silver price forecast. Conversely, persistently high inflation readings that force more hawkish action could reignite the downward pressure witnessed over the past month. Traders will also monitor real yields, as silver, lacking a yield, becomes less attractive when real rates rise.
Conclusion
The silver price forecast has demonstrably improved with XAG/USD’s powerful recovery above $76.00. This move underscores the metal’s volatile nature and its responsiveness to both macroeconomic forces and its unique industrial demand base. While the sustainability of this rebound will depend on forthcoming economic data and central bank communications, the breach of key technical levels has undoubtedly shifted short-term momentum. For investors and analysts, the action confirms that silver remains a dynamic component of the commodity complex, capable of sharp reversals that redefine its trajectory, as seen in today’s dramatic climb from one-month lows.
FAQs
Q1: What caused the silver price (XAG/USD) to recover above $76.00?
The recovery was driven by a combination of a weaker US dollar, a pullback in Treasury yields, robust underlying industrial demand from sectors like solar energy, and a technical rebound from oversold conditions that triggered short-covering by speculative traders.
Q2: Is the current silver price forecast now bullish?
The short-term forecast has turned more positive following the technical breakout above $76.00. However, the medium-term outlook remains contingent on broader macroeconomic factors, particularly Federal Reserve policy and the trajectory of the US dollar.
Q3: How does silver’s recovery compare to gold’s performance?
Silver’s recovery was more pronounced in percentage terms, causing a slight contraction in the gold-silver ratio. This is typical, as silver often exhibits greater volatility than gold during market turns due to its smaller market and dual role as both monetary and industrial metal.
Q4: What are the key resistance levels for XAG/USD after this recovery?
Immediate resistance is seen near $78.20, which aligns with the 50-day moving average and a previous swing high. A sustained break above this level would be needed to confirm a more significant trend reversal and improve the silver price forecast further.
Q5: What is the most important factor to watch for the silver price forecast next?
The most critical factor remains the direction of the US dollar and real interest rates, as these are the primary macro drivers. Secondary factors include inventory flows on major exchanges and demand signals from key industrial consumers, especially the solar photovoltaic industry.
This post Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Stages Dramatic Recovery, Surges Past $76.00 Milestone first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
1
04, 2026
The EURJPY activates the bearish scenario– Forecast today – 31-3-2026
Platinum price reached $1958.00 level this morning, to face %100 Fibonacci extension level, to rebound quickly to the downside, holding below the minor bearish channel’s resistance at $1940.00, to confirm the continuation of the previously suggested bearish scenario.
The price needs a new negative momentum to ease the mission of forming bearish waves, to expect targeting $1835.00 level initially reaching the next target at $1745.00, while breaching the resistance and holding above it will open the way for recording several gains, to reach $2025 initially.
The expected trading range for today is between $1835.00 and $1940.00
Trend forecast: Bearish
1
04, 2026
Forecast update for EURUSD -31-03-2026.
The EURJPY pair confirmed its surrender to the bearish bias dominance by its stability below 184.20 barrier, forming a sharp decline, achieving all the negative targets by reaching 182.60.
confirming the continuation of the negativity in the near and medium trading requires providing new negative close below 183.60 level, to activate with the main indicators negativity, to expect reaching 182.10, while regaining the bullish trend requires forming a strong bullish rally, to settle again above 184.20.
The expected trading range for today is between 182.20 and 183.60
Trend forecast: Bearish
1
04, 2026
GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Rises as Peace Hopes Weigh on Dollar
– Written by
Tim Boyer
STORY LINK GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Rises as Peace Hopes Weigh on Dollar
The Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate moved higher on Tuesday, buoyed by renewed optimism that tensions in the Middle East could ease.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading close to $1.3239, up around 0.4% compared to the day’s opening levels.
The US Dollar came under pressure as markets responded to mounting speculation that the US and Iran may be edging toward a diplomatic resolution.
Reports suggested that US President Donald Trump may be willing to conclude the conflict without first securing full control over the Strait of Hormuz, while US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth indicated that the coming days could be decisive and that the US is leaving the door open for negotiations.
Further weighing on the US Dollar was the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, which showed a sharper than expected drop in vacancies during February, despite an upward revision to January’s figures.
Softer labour market signals have fuelled expectations that the Federal Reserve may take a more cautious approach to tightening policy as employment conditions cool.
The Pound strengthened against the US Dollar but struggled to establish a clear trend elsewhere following the release of the UK’s latest GDP data.
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Figures from the Office for National Statistics confirmed that the economy expanded by just 0.1% in the final quarter of 2025, matching earlier estimates but highlighting the fragility of the UK’s growth outlook.
The subdued performance suggests the economy entered 2026 with limited momentum, leaving it exposed to external pressures such as rising energy costs and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Short-Term GBP/USD Forecast: US Data in Focus
The Pound to US Dollar exchange rate may face fresh volatility with the release of key US economic data.
Retail sales are expected to show a rebound in February, while manufacturing PMI figures are forecast to indicate steady activity in the sector.
Developments in the Middle East are likely to remain the dominant influence, with sentiment hinging on whether geopolitical tensions continue to ease or escalate as the week progresses.
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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts
31
03, 2026
Coffee price today 31/3: Shocking drop
Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning, March 31, witnessed an unprecedented “free fall”. Agents in the Central Highlands region simultaneously reduced purchasing prices from 4,700 to 4,800 VND/kg, pushing the average price of the whole region down to the threshold of 87,600 VND/kg.
Detailed changes in key localities:
Dak Nong (old): Reduced by 4,800 VND, currently purchased at 87,700 VND/kg.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai: Simultaneously decreased by 4,800 VND, currently fluctuating around the threshold of 87,500 VND/kg.
Lam Dong: Recorded a price of 87,000 VND/kg after falling 4,700 VND compared to the previous session.
The sudden drop right in the last session of March made market sentiment become pessimistic when the official price broke the support level of 9,000 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
The trading session on Monday witnessed red color covering the entire international market with a very deep decrease.
London Stock Exchange (Robusta): May 2026 futures fell 174 USD (-4.84%), closing the session at 3,419 USD/ton, the lowest level in 7.75 months. The decline occurred despite Robusta’s inventory on the ICE floor falling to a 3.5-month low of 4,109 lots.
New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): May 2026 futures fell sharply 9.15 cents (-3.03%), closing at 292.55 cents/lb. Arabica prices were strongly affected when the USD index ($DXY) jumped to a 10.5-month high.
Market opinion
The coffee market is under double pressure from the prospect of a record crop in Brazil and the strength of the USD. Forecasts of Brazil’s next crop output reaching 75.9 million bags from Marex Group Plc have put an end to price recovery efforts. Although factors such as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz increasing transportation costs and rainfall in Brazil lower than average are still supporting, they are not enough to stop the sell-off.
It is forecasted that in the first sessions of April, coffee prices will continue to be in a bottom-fishing state around 85,000 – 88,000 VND/kg.
The actual price may differ depending on the quality and purchasing area.