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Copper price remains affected by stochastic negativity, attempting to reach below $5.9700 to increase the chances of activating the temporary bearish corrective trend, to reach $5.8900 followed by $5.8200 level, which represents a new extra support against the current trading.
Forming a strong obstacle at $6.1200 level against the bullish attempts will increase the chances of forming negative attempts, to keep waiting to reach the previously suggested stations, to monitor its behavior to confirm the suggested trend in the upcoming trading.
The expected trading range for today is between $5.8200 and $6.0500
Trend forecast: Bearish
The Brent crude oil price today April 24, 2026 is trading near $106.01 per barrel, up $2.34 from yesterday and almost 59% higher than a year ago. Prices remain elevated because of Middle East supply risk, tight shipping routes, and global uncertainty, although renewed Iran diplomacy has slowed a breakout above $110.
The Brent crude oil price today April 24, 2026 is no longer just an energy market story. It has become a direct signal for inflation, stock market sentiment, central bank policy, shipping costs, and economic growth across the world’s largest economies.
Brent crude pushed above the $106 level after another volatile week in which geopolitical fears and supply disruption concerns drove a powerful rally. Yet even with prices elevated, hopes of renewed diplomacy between the United States and Iran have prevented a full breakout toward $110 and beyond.
For governments, investors, businesses, and consumers, the key question now is urgent: Will Brent crude continue climbing, or is this rally about to cool?
The answer could shape markets from New York to Shanghai, Moscow to Frankfurt.
| Metric | Value | Market Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Current Brent Price | $106.01 | Strong bullish pricing |
| Yesterday Price | $103.67 | +2.25% daily gain |
| One Month Ago | $111.49 | Below recent peak |
| One Year Ago | $66.64 | +59.07% yearly surge |
| Weekly Trend | Strong Gain | Risk premium elevated |
| Resistance Zone | $108 to $110 | Key breakout level |
| Support Zone | $102 to $103 | Near-term floor |
Three powerful themes are driving the market:
The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most critical oil chokepoints. Any disruption there immediately threatens global supply flows.
Even before geopolitical stress, oil markets were relatively tight, meaning any disruption creates an outsized price reaction.
Funds and traders often move quickly into oil during geopolitical crises, increasing volatility.
Despite strong bullish momentum, Brent has not decisively crossed $110 because:
This means fear is supporting prices, but uncertainty is capping them.
For the United States, Brent above $100 increases pressure on gasoline, diesel, airline fuel, and freight costs.
This can:
Higher oil often benefits U.S. energy stocks, but broader equities may struggle if inflation returns.
China is one of the world’s largest crude importers. Higher Brent prices create serious challenges:
If oil stays elevated, China’s economic rebound could lose momentum.
For Russia, stronger global oil prices can create a revenue windfall despite sanctions pressure.
Higher Brent may:
This makes oil price spikes economically significant for Moscow.
Europe remains highly sensitive to energy shocks.
Brent above $106 may cause:
Germany, Italy, France, and broader EU economies remain exposed to imported energy volatility.
Many emerging economies suffer when oil rises because:
This can tighten financial conditions globally.
Nigeria may benefit from stronger crude prices through export earnings and FX inflows. However, domestic consumers are more focused on pump prices and inflation.
For Nigeria-specific impact, readers are also monitoring the fuel price today in Nigeria, where global crude moves can eventually shape transport and living costs.
| Benchmark | Price | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Brent Crude | $106.01 | Global benchmark |
| WTI Crude | Mid $90s range | U.S. benchmark |
| Spread | Around $10+ | Global supply stress premium |
| Scenario | Trigger | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Bullish | Hormuz disruption worsens | $110 to $115 |
| Neutral | Talks continue | $103 to $108 |
| Bearish | Supply fears fade | $98 to $102 |
The Brent crude oil price today April 24, 2026 is more than a commodity headline. It is a global economic warning signal.
For the United States, it may revive inflation concerns. For China, it raises factory costs. For Russia, it can boost revenues. For Europe, it threatens fragile energy stability.
If diplomacy holds, prices may stabilize. If tensions deepen, the next rally could reshape markets worldwide.
Brent crude oil price is rising today because global traders are pricing in supply disruption risks, tighter shipping flows, and continued geopolitical uncertainty around major export routes. When markets fear shortages, oil prices often jump quickly.
Brent crude could test $110 if supply tensions escalate further, inventories tighten, or shipping disruptions worsen. However, if diplomacy improves and exports normalize, prices may pull back below current levels.
Oil is back above $100 due to a mix of geopolitical shocks, restricted supply, stronger strategic buying, and fears that major producers cannot quickly replace lost barrels. Markets are also reacting to global inflation concerns.
When Brent crude rises, petrol and diesel prices often increase because crude oil is a major input cost for refined fuels. Consumers may feel the impact through higher transport fares, logistics costs, and pump prices.
For the United States, Brent above $100 can push gasoline prices higher, increase inflation pressure, weigh on consumer spending, and complicate Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. Energy companies may benefit while households face rising costs.
China is one of the world’s largest oil importers, so higher crude prices can raise factory costs, pressure manufacturing margins, and slow growth. It may also increase shipping and export costs globally.
Brent is considered the leading global benchmark because it prices much of the internationally traded crude market. WTI mainly reflects North American supply dynamics, while Brent often better captures world energy sentiment.
Higher oil prices can boost Russia’s export revenues and fiscal strength, especially if it maintains strong export volumes. However, sanctions, trade restrictions, and logistics costs can reduce some of that benefit.
Europe may face higher fuel bills, transport costs, inflation pressure, and slower industrial recovery when oil remains elevated. Energy intensive sectors such as chemicals, aviation, and manufacturing are often most exposed.
Oil prices could drop if peace talks succeed, supply routes reopen fully, recession fears rise, or major producers sharply increase output. Weak demand data can also trigger fast corrections.
Oil stocks can benefit when crude prices rise, but risks remain high because energy markets are volatile. Investors usually watch production costs, dividends, geopolitical developments, and balance sheet strength before investing.
If supply fears persist, Brent may remain supported above $100 and challenge $108 to $110. If tensions cool, the market could retreat toward $98 to $102 support zones.
There can still be a pullback to test higher prior support indicators as resistance before the anticipated decline continues and likely picks up speed. The 50-day moving average marks a key dynamic resistance zone since it was confirmed as resistance at the top of the wedge last Friday. Currently, the 50-day average is at $4,862, a little below the top of the wedge consolidation pattern and the lower swing high at $4,890. Based on the structure, a minor lower swing high at $4,833, a five-day high, provides another level of interest. If it exceeded to the upside, the bearish potential of the wedge becomes suspect.
Although bearish indications are seen in the daily chart, an inside week will complete this week on the weekly chart, setting it up for a bearish continuation signal below this week’s low of $4,658. However, since the prior week’s low of $4,640 is close by, that level should provide a more reliable bearish signal if it triggers. This proximity of lows creates a layered support zone where a clean break would strengthen downside conviction rather than produce a marginal signal.
An initial downside target is indicated in a zone near $4,381, which is validated as both support and resistance over the past, with a trend high in October and a swing low from January. Further down is the significant 200-day moving average at $4,252. Taken together, these levels define a broader bearish pathway that remains intact unless gold can reclaim and hold above key resistance levels noted above.
If you’d like to know more about how to trade gold and silver, please visit our educational area.
Platinum price continued to provide weak sideways trading by its continued fluctuation near $2040.00 level, affected by the continuation of the main indicators, to obstruct the chances of resuming the previously bullish trend.
Stochastic reach below 50 level might increase the intraday negative pressures on the trading, to expect reaching the moving average level 55 at $1990.00, attempting to test the extra support near $1950.00, while holding above $2110.00 will motivate the bullish trend, to keep waiting for recording the extra target near $2155.00 and $2205.00.
The expected trading range for today is between $1990.00 and $2100.00
Trend forecast: Fluctuating
Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning, April 25, recorded a stable state at a high level after international prices had a downward adjustment in the closing session early this morning. According to records from key growing areas of the Central Highlands, the average purchase price throughout the region is currently fluctuating around the threshold of 89,400 VND/kg.
In Dak Nong (old) locality, coffee prices still maintained at the highest level in the region at 89,500 VND/kg.
Dak Lak and Gia Lai provinces both stood at 89,300 VND/kg, while in Lam Dong the price reached 88,700 VND/kg.
World coffee prices
On international exchanges, red color returned to cover both London and New York exchanges in the last trading session of the week. Arabica futures for July fell 5.45 cents, equivalent to 1.81%, to 294.90 cents/lb.
Following the same trend, Robusta prices also slightly decreased by 9 USD to 3,498 USD/ton. This decline is mainly due to pressure from forecasts of a super-bumper crop in Brazil in the 2026/27 crop year with expected output reaching a record 75.9 million bags. In addition, the global coffee surplus in 2026, which is forecast to expand to 10 million bags, is the biggest barrier hindering the breakthrough momentum of global coffee prices.
Coffee price assessment
Despite pressure from long-term supply, the market still received significant support from geopolitical and weather factors.
Concerns about the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to tensions in the Middle East are pushing up transportation, insurance and fuel costs, causing difficulties for goods circulation.
In addition, the serious shortage of rainfall in the Minas Gerais region of Brazil, which only reached 20% of the historical average, is directly threatening actual productivity. In Vietnam, the strong export growth in the first quarter of 14% has contributed to easing concerns about shortages, but inventories on the ICE exchange are still at a record low of 16 months, which is a solid support for Robusta prices.
Forecast in the first sessions of next week, coffee prices will continue to be in a state of accumulation and strong fluctuations around 88,000 – 9,000 VND/kg. Forecasts of a record surplus crop year in the future may make the upward momentum of coffee prices face many difficulties if there is no new supporting information from the supply side.
The actual prices in localities may differ depending on the quality of the seeds and actual transaction agreements.
The US Natural Gas Fund Tokenized Stock (Ondo) (UNGon)) has seen a steady uptick lately, with its price climbing 3.8% over the past 24 hours to hit $10.40 USD, according to data from CoinMarketCap extracted on April 24, 2026. This tokenized asset, which provides exposure to the US Natural Gas Fund similar to holding UNG shares, is drawing interest from global investors seeking 24/7 access to traditional markets via blockchain. Recent energy sector fluctuations and growing adoption of tokenized real-world assets have fueled this movement. In this article, we’ll dive into short-term and long-term price forecasts, technical analysis, and market outlooks to help you gauge potential trading opportunities.
As a tokenized version of the US Natural Gas Fund offered by Ondo, UNGon gives investors economic exposure akin to owning shares in the underlying ETF, including any reinvested dividends. This setup is particularly appealing for non-US retail and institutional users who want instant minting and redemption of tokenized US stocks and ETFs around the clock, five days a week, tapping into traditional exchange liquidity. Restrictions apply, and more details are available on Ondo’s global markets page.
In April 2026, UNGon holds a market cap ranking of #3211 on CoinMarketCap, with a current price of $10.40 USD, a market capitalization of $38,306.86, and a 24-hour trading volume of $25,591.41. Its ecosystem focuses on bridging traditional finance with Web3, enabling seamless access to commodity-based assets like natural gas without geographical barriers. This article examines UNGon’s price trends from 2026 through 2030, offering professional predictions and strategies to navigate this niche in the crypto space.
UNGon has experienced modest fluctuations since its inception, with an all-time high around $12.50 during peak energy demand periods last year and a low dipping to $8.20 amid broader market corrections. Key milestones include a 15% surge in late 2025 tied to rising natural gas futures, reflecting seasonal demand spikes. Currently, as of April 24, 2026, the token is up 3.8% in the last 24 hours, showing positive momentum.
Over shorter periods, it has gained about 5% in the past week and 10% over the month, per CoinMarketCap data, while the yearly trend remains stable with minimal volatility compared to pure-play cryptos. The Fear & Greed Index for the broader crypto market stands at 55 – Neutral, suggesting balanced sentiment that could support UNGon’s steady climb. Holdings are somewhat concentrated, with top holders controlling around 40% of supply based on blockchain explorers, which might imply lower decentralization but also potential for whale-driven stability in this asset-backed token.
Several elements will shape UNGon’s trajectory. Its tokenomics feature a supply model tied to the underlying UNG ETF, with no aggressive burning mechanisms but inherent value from dividend reinvestments, creating a somewhat deflationary effect through asset appreciation. Institutional behavior plays a big role; recent whale accumulations, as noted in on-chain data from sources like Etherscan, indicate growing interest from funds eyeing commodity exposure via blockchain.
Macroeconomic conditions, such as natural gas price volatility driven by global energy markets, position UNGon as a potential inflation hedge similar to gold-backed tokens. Technical growth includes Ondo’s ecosystem expansions, like integrations with DeFi protocols for yielding on tokenized assets, which could boost adoption. Cross-chain capabilities might further enhance liquidity, drawing parallels to how platforms like Chainlink have expanded oracle access across networks.
Predicting UNGon’s price involves blending technical indicators with market fundamentals. Currently trading at $10.40, the token shows bullish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 58, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, per TradingView charts as of April 2026. MACD lines are converging positively, suggesting potential upward momentum, while Bollinger Bands are tightening around the 50-day moving average of $10.10, hinting at an impending breakout.
Fibonacci retracements from the recent low place key support at $9.80 and resistance at $11.00. Breaking above $11.00 could signal a rally toward $12.50, especially if natural gas futures rise due to seasonal demand. Recent news, like reports from Bloomberg on increasing US natural gas exports, could positively impact UNGon by boosting the underlying asset’s value.
Support levels at $9.80 represent a historical floor where buyers have stepped in during dips, often tied to ETF inflows. Resistance at $11.00 aligns with psychological barriers and past highs, potentially capping gains unless volume surges. These levels are significant for traders using them to set stop-losses or entry points, drawing from patterns seen in commodity-linked tokens.
While UNGon is currently up 3.8%, let’s examine a hypothetical pullback scenario by comparing it to a similar asset like the tokenized oil fund from platforms such as Tether’s offerings, which saw a 5% drop last quarter amid supply chain disruptions. Both are influenced by external events like geopolitical tensions in energy markets – for instance, recent Middle East conflicts reported by Reuters have pressured natural gas prices downward temporarily.
If UNGon experiences a similar dip, recovery might follow a V-shaped pattern, supported by data from CoinMarketCap showing quick rebounds in low-cap tokens during bull phases. Hypothesis: With trading volume at $25,591.41, a 10% drop could find buyers at support levels, leading to a 15% recovery within weeks, mirroring oil tokens’ responses to inventory reports from the Energy Information Administration.
| Date | Price | % Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | $10.40 | +3.8% |
| 2026-04-25 | $10.55 | +1.4% |
| 2026-04-26 | $10.60 | +0.5% |
| 2026-04-27 | $10.45 | -1.4% |
| 2026-04-28 | $10.70 | +2.4% |
| 2026-04-29 | $10.80 | +0.9% |
| 2026-04-30 | $10.90 | +0.9% |
| 2026-05-01 | $11.00 | +0.9% |
| Week | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 22-28, 2026 | $10.00 | $10.50 | $10.80 |
| April 29-May 5, 2026 | $10.50 | $10.80 | $11.10 |
| May 6-12, 2026 | $10.70 | $11.00 | $11.30 |
| May 13-19, 2026 | $10.90 | $11.20 | $11.50 |
| Month | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price | Potential ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April | $10.00 | $10.40 | $10.80 | +3.8% |
| May | $10.50 | $10.90 | $11.30 | +8.7% |
| June | $10.80 | $11.20 | $11.60 | +11.5% |
| July | $11.00 | $11.50 | $12.00 | +15.4% |
| August | $11.20 | $11.70 | $12.20 | +17.3% |
| September | $11.40 | $11.90 | $12.40 | +19.2% |
| October | $11.60 | $12.10 | $12.60 | +21.2% |
| November | $11.80 | $12.30 | $12.80 | +23.1% |
| December | $12.00 | $12.50 | $13.00 | +25.0% |
| Year | Min Price | Avg Price | Max Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $10.40 | $11.50 | $13.00 |
| 2027 | $12.00 | $13.50 | $15.00 |
| 2028 | $14.00 | $15.50 | $17.00 |
| 2029 | $16.00 | $17.50 | $19.00 |
| 2030 | $18.00 | $19.50 | $21.00 |
Investing in UNGon carries market risks like high volatility from natural gas price swings, where sentiment can shift rapidly due to weather events or policy changes. Competition from other tokenized commodity platforms could erode its edge. Regulatory risks loom, with varying jurisdictional rules on tokenized securities potentially increasing compliance costs, as highlighted in recent SEC statements.
Technical risks include smart contract vulnerabilities, though Ondo’s audits mitigate this, and scalability issues if adoption surges. Questioning the assumption that tokenized assets are always superior, consider how traditional ETFs offer similar exposure without blockchain fees – yet UNGon’s 24/7 access counters this for global users.
UNGon presents solid long-term value as a bridge between crypto and traditional energy markets, but short-term risks from commodity volatility warrant caution. As a seasoned trader, I’ve seen assets like this thrive during bull cycles, yet they often underperform in bears. For beginners, start with small positions and track energy news; experienced investors should diversify into it as a hedge. Institutions might monitor Ondo’s expansions for deeper integration. Consider spot trading UNGON/USDT on WEEX Exchange or engaging in related DeFi yields for hands-on involvement.
UNGon is Ondo’s tokenized version of the US Natural Gas Fund, offering exposure similar to holding UNG shares with dividend reinvestments. It allows global users 24/7 access to this asset via blockchain.
It could be for those seeking commodity exposure in crypto, with potential growth from energy trends. However, its low market cap of $38,306.86 suggests higher risk-reward; always assess your tolerance.
Based on our analysis, UNGon could average $11.50 by year-end, with highs up to $13.00 if natural gas demand rises, per the forecasts above.
Start by registering on WEEX for a secure account. Then, check out How to buy US Natural Gas Fund Tokenized Stock (Ondo) (UNGon) on WEEX) for step-by-step guidance on trading pairs like UNGON/USDT.
Tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum often lead, but niche ones like UNGon could shine in real-world asset sectors if adoption grows.
Key risks include market volatility, regulatory changes, and dependency on natural gas prices, which can fluctuate wildly based on global events.
Consider entering during dips near support levels like $9.80, especially ahead of winter demand peaks, but always research current conditions.
DISCLAIMER: WEEX and affiliates provide digital asset exchange services, including derivatives and margin trading, only where legal and for eligible users. All content is general information, not financial advice-seek independent advice before trading. Cryptocurrency trading is high-risk and may result in total loss. By using WEEX services you accept all related risks and terms. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. See our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure for details.
Copper price remains affected by stochastic negativity, attempting to reach below $5.9700 to increase the chances of activating the temporary bearish corrective trend, to reach $5.8900 followed by $5.8200 level, which represents a new extra support against the current trading.
Forming a strong obstacle at $6.1200 level against the bullish attempts will increase the chances of forming negative attempts, to keep waiting to reach the previously suggested stations, to monitor its behavior to confirm the suggested trend in the upcoming trading.
The expected trading range for today is between $5.8200 and $6.0500
Trend forecast: Bearish
Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning, April 24, recorded very strong growth momentum, helping the soybean kernel price approach the important milestone of 9,000 VND/kg. According to actual surveys, the average purchase price throughout the Central Highlands region has increased by 1,500 VND/kg, bringing the price level to the threshold of 89,400 VND/kg.
In Dak Nong province (old), coffee prices are trading at the highest level in the region at 89,500 VND/kg. Dak Lak and Gia Lai provinces both maintain stable prices at 89,300 VND/kg, while Lam Dong region is listed at 88,700 VND/kg. This is the second consecutive increase session in the week, reflecting the heat from the world futures market that is directly affecting domestic trading sentiment.
World coffee prices
In the international market, both the London and New York exchanges recorded strong breakthrough sessions, reaching the highest level in the past 4 weeks. Specifically, Robusta prices on the London exchange for July delivery jumped 103 USD, equivalent to 3.03%, closing at 3,507 USD/ton.
On the New York exchange, the price of Arabica for July delivery also exploded when it increased by another 11.20 cents, equivalent to 3.87%, officially exceeding the 300.35 cent/lb mark. The main driving force pushing prices up is deep concerns about the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to geopolitical tensions. The paralysis of this vital sea route not only increases transportation and insurance costs but also pushes up fertilizer and fuel prices, directly putting pressure on the input costs of roasters.
Coffee price assessment
Coupled with geopolitical factors, the strength of the Brazilian Real also played a key role when it rose to its highest level in 2 years against the USD. The strengthening domestic currency has caused manufacturers in Brazil to limit export sales to wait for better prices.
In addition, the actual shortage of Robusta supply is becoming serious as inventories on the ICE exchange continue to fall to the lowest level in the past 16 months. In terms of weather, a report from Minas Gerais of Brazil shows that rainfall last week only reached 4.2 mm, equivalent to 20% of the historical average, this factor is directly threatening crop yields and promoting the buying wave of hedge funds.
However, the market still faced some resistance from record surplus forecasts from international organizations. Marex Group and StoneX still maintained their assessment of a “super bumper” harvest in Brazil next crop with output possibly reaching 75.9 million bags.
At the same time, Vietnam’s Q1 export data increased by 14% to 585,000 tons, showing that the supply of goods from the world’s number one Robusta producer is still being maintained well. It is forecasted that in the coming sessions, coffee prices will continue to fluctuate strongly when approaching the 9,000 VND/kg zone.
Domestic coffee prices may change depending on the region and product quality at the time of transaction.
The article covers the following subjects:
Consider long positions from corrections above 79.20 with a target of 115.70–126.00.
Breakout and consolidation below 79.20 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 65.00–53.25.
A descending correction appears to have formed as the second wave of larger degree (2) on the weekly chart, with wave C of (2) completed as its part. On the daily timeframe, the ascending third wave (3) has started unfolding, with the first wave of smaller degree 1 of (3) still developing as its part. On the H4 chart, wave iii of 1 has likely formed, a local correction iv of 1 has been completed, and wave v of 1 has started unfolding. If the presumption is correct, WTI will continue to rise to the levels of 115.70–126.00. The level of 79.20 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the asset to continue declining to the levels of 65.00–53.25.
This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.
The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.
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Gold is testing the $4,700 level early Friday, holding at its weakest level in over a week and eyeing the first weekly drop in five weeks.
Gold witnesses a down week as bears tighten their grip, following rejection at higher levels on several occasions.
The primary reason behind Gold’s renewed downside is the solid recovery in the US Dollar (USD), as the Greenback looks to snap two consecutive weeks of decline.
Robust Retail Sales and preliminary business PMI data from the United States (US) pushed back against expectations of at least one interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year, boosting the USD at the expense of the bright metal.
The Greenback also capitalized on resurgent haven demand as Oil prices regained traction amid the US-Iran stalemate on peace talks and the Strait of Hormuz, rekindling fears over pervasive inflation.
In the latest news, US military officials are developing new plans to target Iran’s capabilities in the Strait of Hormuz in the event the current ceasefire with Iran fails, per CNN News.
Meanwhile, Israeli Ambassador to the United Nations (UN) Danny Danon told CNN that the Lebanon ceasefire extension is “not 100%,” warning that Hezbollah is firing rockets to sabotage the truce.
This came after US President Donald Trump announced via Truth Social late Thursday that the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire was extended by three weeks, following the talks in Washington.
Going forward, Gold could continue to face heat from sustained USD demand and uncertainty around the Middle East conflict.
Nonetheless, a brief rebound cannot be ruled out, as investors might resort to repositioning their recent trades heading into next week’s Fed monetary policy meeting.
In the daily chart, XAU/USD trades at $4,676.24, keeping a bearish near-term tone as spot holds under the short- and medium-term simple moving averages. The 21-day simple moving average (SMA) at roughly $4,701 and the 100-day SMA near $4,741 sit overhead as immediate dynamic resistance, reinforced by the broader descending trend-line that continues to cap rebounds. Momentum is lacklustre, with the Relative Strength Index (14) hovering around 44, which suggests downside pressure is present but not yet stretched.
On the topside, initial resistance is seen at the 21-day SMA around $4,701, followed by the 100-day SMA near $4,741, where the upper boundary of a falling wedge aligns.
Meanwhile, a more meaningful barrier emerges at the 50-day SMA close to $4,870 if bulls manage a stronger recovery. On the downside, the first layer of support comes from the higher rising trend-line around $4,589, ahead of the lower ascending support zone near $4,383; a sustained break below these trend supports would expose the more distant 200-day SMA, now providing structural backing around $4,250.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
The Federal Reserve (Fed) deliberates on monetary policy and makes a decision on interest rates at eight pre-scheduled meetings per year. It has two mandates: to keep inflation at 2%, and to maintain full employment. Its main tool for achieving this is by setting interest rates – both at which it lends to banks and banks lend to each other. If it decides to hike rates, the US Dollar (USD) tends to strengthen as it attracts more foreign capital inflows. If it cuts rates, it tends to weaken the USD as capital drains out to countries offering higher returns. If rates are left unchanged, attention turns to the tone of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, and whether it is hawkish (expectant of higher future interest rates), or dovish (expectant of lower future rates).
Next release:
Wed Apr 29, 2026 18:00
Frequency:
Irregular
Consensus:
3.75%
Previous:
3.75%
Source:
Federal Reserve
Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates.
When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money.
When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.
The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions.
The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.
In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system.
It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.
Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.