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Silver came under selling pressure in the second half of Thursday, as risk aversion fueled US Dollar (USD) demand. Financial markets have struggled for direction since the week started, in the hope that the United States (US) and Iran would find common ground to reach a deal that would end the Middle East war.
Enthusiasm, however, faded as days went by, as representatives from both sides missed the date in Islamabad on Wednesday. US President Donald Trump announced the US would maintain the ceasefire, although Tehran won’t. Both countries continue to block the Strait of Hormuz, with skirmishes taking place in the area.
The sentiment finally took a turn for the worse on Thursday, on news coming from Israel indicating that Iran’s Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf has resigned from the negotiating team, erasing any chance of a deal in the foreseeable future. The headline still needs confirmation, but its impact through financial boards is clear.
Whether the situation will escalate remains to be seen. What’s certain is that Crude Oil prices jumped with the headlines, reflecting the market’s idea of no deal at sight and more pain ahead.
The case for additional XAG/USD is firmer after the pair retreated from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the daily slump measured between $96.62 and $61.01 at $83.02. Even further, the pair is currently pressuring the 38.2% retracement at $74.61, and a clear break below the level should open the door for a continued slide toward the base of the range at $61.
In the four-hour chart, XAG/USD trades with a bearish tone as price holds below the 20-, 100-, and 200-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), which all act as layered resistance and reinforce a bearish near-term bias. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator turned lower around 37 but lacks directional strength, still skewing the risk to the downside. At the same time, the Momentum indicator holds directionless below its midline, suggesting that sellers retain control, though conditions are not yet oversold enough to suggest imminent exhaustion.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
(This story was corrected on April 24 at 00:30 GMT in fifth paragraph to say XAG/USD instead of XAU/USD.)
Coffee price lost positive momentum in the last trading, which forces it to form new bearish waves, to retest 276.00 support to settle above it, note that the stability above the current support might help it to motivate the bullish corrective attempts, to expect the price rally to 297.00, to extend the trading towards the next obstacle near 312.00.
While facing new bearish pressure and reaching the current support will force it to suffer extra losses by targeting 266.10 and 257.00 level.
The expected trading range for today is between 280.00 and 297.00
Trend forecast: Bullish
Natural gas price kept forming weak sideways trading, holding above $2.620 support, but the main indicators contradiction and the continuation of forming an initial resistance at $3.160 obstructs the chances of forming new bullish waves by its fluctuations near $2.720 level.
The continuation of forming sideways trading in the current period, reaching below the current support will confirm its readiness to form new bearish waves, to expect targeting $2.390 and $2.250 level.
The expected trading range for today is between $5.250 and $2.820
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bearish trend
Silver price (XAG/USD) is down almost 2.3% to near $76.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal faces selling pressure as oil prices extends its winning streak for the third trading day on Thursday.
WTI Oil price jumps to near $95.80 during the day, the highest level in a week, as the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage to almost 20% of global energy supply, remains closed, despite a ceasefire extension between the United States (US) and Iran.
Tehran remains firm on its vow that the Hormuz will remain closed until the US lifts the blockade on Iranian sea ports, a move that has frozen Iranian business activity.
Higher oil prices result in a sharp increase in inflation expectations globally, a scenario that discourages central banks from reducing interest rates, which eventually diminishes the demand for non-yielding assets, such as Silver.
Meanwhile, a higher US Dollar (USD) due to hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates this year has also weighed on the Silver price. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the possibility of the Fed holding interest rates steady in the current range of 3.50%3.75% in the December meeting is 76.8%.
During the day, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, posts a fresh weekly high at around 98.70.
XAG/USD trades lower at around $76 as of writing. The overall trend of the white metal appears to be uncertain as it is on the verge of an Ascending Triangle breakdown. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $76.84 caps the upside as immediate resistance.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 47.85 sits just below the neutral 50 line, hinting at fading bullish momentum rather than outright oversold conditions.
On the topside, the horizontal barrier of the Ascending Triangle formation at around $83.00 is the key resistance for the price. A daily close above $83 would extend the rally towards the psychological level of $90.00. Until those levels are recovered, the metal remains vulnerable to further downside towards the April 13 low at around $72.60, followed by the April 7 low of $68.28.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Natural gas price kept forming weak sideways trading, holding above $2.620 support, but the main indicators contradiction and the continuation of forming an initial resistance at $3.160 obstructs the chances of forming new bullish waves by its fluctuations near $2.720 level.
The continuation of forming sideways trading in the current period, reaching below the current support will confirm its readiness to form new bearish waves, to expect targeting $2.390 and $2.250 level.
The expected trading range for today is between $5.250 and $2.820
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bearish trend
As of April 22, 2026, the brent crude oil price is trading around $98 per barrel, after briefly surging above $100 due to escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Prices eased following a temporary ceasefire extension, but the oil price today remains volatile amid ongoing supply risks.
The brent crude price has once again demonstrated how quickly sentiment can shift in global energy markets. Within 24 hours, prices surged past $100—triggering fears of a renewed energy shock—before slipping back toward $98.
For anyone tracking the crude oil price today or broader oil price trends, this is more than a short-term fluctuation. It reflects a market increasingly driven by geopolitical uncertainty rather than stable fundamentals, with traders reacting instantly to developments around the Strait of Hormuz.
The rally in brent crude oil price was not accidental—it was triggered by a sharp escalation in geopolitical risk.
Tensions intensified after Iran reportedly seized vessels attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, while the United States maintained a naval blockade despite extending a temporary ceasefire. That combination created a dangerous signal for global oil supply: disruption without resolution.
Because the Strait of Hormuz handles a significant share of global oil shipments, even the perception of restricted flow can push prices sharply higher. In this case, markets reacted immediately, pricing in a potential supply shock and driving oil price today above the key $100 mark.
Yet, the rally proved fragile.
Despite the spike, the brent crude price could not hold above $100. The easing came after signals that the ceasefire would continue—at least temporarily—reducing the immediate risk of full-scale military escalation.
However, this is not a return to stability. It is a pause in a highly fragile environment.
Shipping activity remains cautious, military presence is still elevated, and diplomatic progress remains uncertain. In effect, the market has moved from panic to cautious watchfulness—keeping the crude oil price today elevated but not runaway.
The broader oil market reflects this mixed sentiment, with different benchmarks reacting in varied ways:
| Benchmark | Price ($) | Change (%) | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Crude | 98.34 | -0.14% | Cooling after $100 spike |
| WTI Crude | 89.42 | -0.25% | Softer U.S. outlook |
| Murban Crude | 96.29 | +3.25% | Regional strength |
| OPEC Basket | 99.60 | -5.19% | High volatility |
| Dubai Crude | 100.45 | -4.49% | Gulf sensitivity |
| Indian Basket | 100.41 | -9.24% | Demand pressure |
What stands out in this table analysis is the divergence. While Brent—the global benchmark—has cooled slightly, other grades show sharper swings, indicating that the oil price is being shaped by localized demand patterns and geopolitical exposure.
The current movement in brent crude oil price is not being driven by traditional supply-demand balance alone. Instead, it reflects a risk premium environment.
Markets are pricing in:
This explains why prices surged quickly but failed to sustain above $100—the market is uncertain, not convinced.
The implications of the current oil price today extend across the global economy.
Higher oil prices feed directly into inflation, increasing transportation and production costs worldwide. Central banks, already navigating fragile recoveries, may face renewed pressure to tighten monetary policy.
For emerging economies, including Nigeria, the impact is even more immediate. Rising crude oil price today can translate into higher fuel costs, currency pressure, and fiscal strain—especially in economies sensitive to imported refined products.
At the same time, equity markets tend to react negatively to sustained oil spikes, as higher energy costs compress corporate margins and reduce consumer spending power.
Looking ahead, the direction of the brent crude price will depend on three key scenarios:
The market is effectively in a wait-and-see mode, reacting to headlines rather than fundamentals.
Brent crude oil price is around $98 per barrel on April 22, 2026, after briefly rising above $100 due to tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Prices eased following a ceasefire extension, but oil markets remain volatile due to ongoing geopolitical risks.
The brent crude oil price tells a clear story: this is a market driven by uncertainty.
The brief surge above $100—and the swift retreat—highlight how fragile global oil pricing has become. With geopolitical risks centered around the Strait of Hormuz, the crude oil price today will remain highly sensitive to every diplomatic and military development.
For decision-makers, investors, and consumers, the takeaway is straightforward:
Volatility is back—and it is being driven by geopolitics, not just supply and demand.
World oil prices today
World gasoline and oil prices at the end of yesterday’s trading session (April 22), WTI and Brent oil prices increased by 3.67% and 3.48% respectively.
By this morning’s session, both oil commodities continued the upward trend. At 7:16 am (Vietnam time), WTI crude oil price was at 96.54 USD/barrel, up 3.58 USD/barrel, equivalent to an increase of 3.85%. WTI oil closed the previous trading session at 92.96 USD/barrel and opened today’s session at 92.69 USD/barrel.
Brent oil price was at 105.64 USD/barrel, up 3.86 USD/barrel, equivalent to an increase of 3.79%. Brent oil price closed the previous trading session at 101.78 USD/barrel and opened today’s session at 101.79 USD/barrel.
According to analysts, world gasoline prices surged sharply as the market reacted to inventory data in the US, in which the amount of gasoline and distillate products fell much deeper than forecast. At the same time, increased tensions in the Strait of Hormuz after gunings targeting container ships also raised concerns about supply, in the context of deadlock in peace negotiations between the US and Iran.
Data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that in the week ending April 17, crude oil inventories increased by 1.9 million barrels, to 465.7 million barrels. Conversely, gasoline inventories decreased sharply by 4.6 million barrels, to 228.4 million barrels, much higher than the decrease of 1.5 million barrels forecast by analysts. Distillate inventories also decreased by 3.4 million barrels, to 108.1 million barrels, exceeding the forecast of a decrease of 2.5 million barrels.
Geopolitical factors continue to increase pressure on oil prices, as the Hormuz Strait – the route that transports about 20% of global oil and liquefied gas supplies – becomes unstable.
On April 22, at least 3 container ships were attacked with guns in this area. Iranian media reported that the Navy of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard of Iran arrested 2 ships on charges of violating maritime regulations and brought them back to the country’s territorial waters.
Peace talks between the US and Iran have also made no progress. The meeting scheduled in Pakistan did not take place due to the absence of both sides, increasing concerns about the risk of supply disruption in the near future.
Domestic gasoline prices today
On April 23, retail gasoline and oil prices according to the price list announced by Petrolimex in region 1 and region 2 are as follows:
The above-mentioned domestic retail gasoline and oil prices were adjusted by the inter-ministry of Industry and Trade – Finance from 4 pm on April 21.
Accordingly, the price of E5RON92 gasoline decreased by 658 VND/liter; RON95 gasoline decreased by 719 VND/liter; diesel oil 0.05S decreased by 3,185 VND/liter; mazut oil decreased by 701 VND/kg.
Gasoline and oil discount today
– Hoang Trong General Trading Co., Ltd.:
+ Hai Linh Warehouse, Petec, Dinh Vu, K99: Diesel oil 0.05S: 3,000 VND/liter; Gasoline RON 95 – III: 1,500 VND/liter.
+ Bac Ninh Warehouse: Diesel oil 0.05S: 2. 850 VND/liter; Gasoline RON 95 – III: 1. 300 VND/liter.
+ Nghi Son Warehouse: Diesel oil 0.05S: 3,000 VND/liter; Gasoline RON 95 – III: 1,500 VND/liter.
– Tu Luc Petroleum Joint Stock Company 1:
+ Diesel oil 0.05S – II: 1,600 VND/liter;
+ Diesel oil 0.001S-V: 1. 100 VND/liter;
+ RON 95 – III gasoline: 900 VND/liter;
+ E5 gasoline: 900 VND/liter.
– MIPEC Petroleum Trading and Trading Co., Ltd. – MIPEC Petro (applied to the Northern region):
+ RON 95 – III gasoline: 1,000 VND/liter.
+ Diesel oil 0.05S-II: 1,600 VND/liter.
Today’s gasoline and oil prices are for reference only and may change according to market developments.
Refer to more articles about gasoline and oil prices HERE.
Copper price didn’t move anything since yesterday by its fluctuation near the initial support at $5.9700, due to the contradiction of the main indicators, by providing negative momentum by stochastic, which settles below 50 level.
The sideways trading might continue, reminding you that the negative pressure might force it to form some bearish corrective trading, attempting to reach $5.8200, while activating the bullish trend requires a new bullish momentum to push the price to settle above $6.1200, to begin activating new positive stations that might extend in the initial period at 6.2500.
The expected trading range for today is between $5.8200 and $6.100
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish trend
Silver has gotten hammered during the trading session as talks between the Americans and the Iranians appear to be on hold. So, interest rates have spiked. With that being the case, it makes a certain amount of sense that traders will be very concerned about the potential risk appetite going forward.
If that ends up being the case, then silver gets hammered. It probably drops down to the $70 level relatively soon. The upside is the $82 level where we see a lot of resistance. And if we can break above there, then we can go to the $90 level.
Quite frankly, we need the situation between the Americans and the Iranians to finally stop. There are a lot of games being played when it comes to talks and as long as that is the case, the war has a very high likelihood of continuing. Supposedly, the 2-week ceasefire ends sometime on Wednesday, so we will have to wait and see how that happens, but I think traders are starting to focus on the idea that maybe shots will be fired again.
If that is the case, silver probably gets hurt. Silver eventually will rally because there is a lot of demand for silver, but right now it is all about the interest rates just destroying the silver forecast. It is a non-yielding asset, and it of course makes a huge difference in how this plays out.
Ultimately, I think the 200-day EMA will be held, but that is all the way down at roughly $65. So, we could fall somewhat significantly. Watch the 10-year yield. If it rises, silver falls. That has been the game we have been playing for a while.
Ready to trade our daily forex analysis and predictions? Here are the best Silver trading brokers to choose from.
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
Domestic coffee prices
The domestic coffee market this morning, April 22, recorded a simultaneous downward adjustment in key growing areas of the Central Highlands after strong fluctuations.
According to actual records, the average purchase price throughout the region has retreated to the threshold of 86,900 VND/kg with a general decrease of 500 VND/kg in all localities.
Specifically, in Dak Nong province (old), coffee prices are currently trading at the highest level in the region at 87,100 VND/kg. In Dak Lak and Gia Lai provinces, the purchase price is also at the threshold of 86,800 VND/kg.
Meanwhile, Lam Dong region listed the lowest price in the region at 86,300 VND/kg. This decrease reflects the caution of domestic speculators as world coffee prices are under great pressure from macroeconomic supply and demand reports.
World coffee prices
On international exchanges, red color continued to cover both London and New York exchanges in the early morning closing session today. Arabica coffee futures for May delivery in New York fell another 3.20 cents, equivalent to 1.10%, to the lowest level in the past 7 weeks.
Similarly, the London exchange also recorded Robusta futures for May delivery falling 25 USD, equivalent to 0.72%, despite efforts to recover at the beginning of the session. A technical sell-off wave was triggered when investment funds were concerned about a long-term supply surplus, especially when Arabica could not maintain important support levels previously.
Coffee price assessment
The main reason for the current decline in coffee prices is the prospect of a super bumper crop in Brazil. Marex Group Plc estimates that the output of this South American country in the 2026/27 crop year may reach a record 75.9 million bags, an increase of 15.5% compared to the previous year.
At the same time, the StoneX organization also put pressure on market sentiment when forecasting that the global coffee surplus in 2026 will expand to 10 million bags, marking the largest surplus in the past 6 years.
In Vietnam, Q1 export data increased by 14% to 585,000 tons, showing that the actual supply of goods to the market is still maintained at a high level, creating additional downward pressure for the Robusta line.
Although the market is under great oversupply pressure, there are still some factors hindering the deep decline. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to tensions in the Middle East continues to push up sea transportation costs, insurance and fuel costs, making it difficult for international roasters to import goods.
In addition, Robusta inventories on the ICE exchange are currently still at the lowest level in 16 months with only 3,788 lots as of the beginning of the week. In Brazil, rainfall in the Minas Gerais region last week only reached 20% of the historical average, which is also an important variable that could affect actual yields if the drought persists.
Coffee prices are for reference only, and may vary by region.