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18 12, 2025

GBP/USD forecast as odds of BoE interest rate cut jump on Polymarket

By |2025-12-18T06:07:36+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The GBP/USD exchange rate dropped by 0.75% on Wednesday after the UK published encouraging consumer inflation data. Sterling dropped to a low of 1.3327, down from this week’s high of 1.3460.

Bank of England to cut rates as UK inflation falls

The GBP/USD exchange rate pulled back and erased some of the recent gains as investors reacted to the latest UK inflation data. This also explains why the UK bond yields dropped as the FTSE 100 Index rose.

A report by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped from 3.5% in October to 3.2% in November. 

UK’s inflation dropped by minus 0.2% on a MoM basis after rising by 0.3% in the previous month.

Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, dropped by 0.1% on a MoM basis, bringing the annual inflation figure to 3.2%.

More data shows that the retail price index (RPI) dropped from 4.3% to 3.8%, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) dropped from 3.6% to 3.4%.

These numbers mean that the country’s inflation is moving in the right direction, a move that confirms that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.25% in the final meeting of the year on Thursday this week.

The BoE has delivered several interest rate cuts in the past few months, moving from a high 5.25% in August 2024 to the current 4%. As such, a cut will bring the headline interest rates to 3.75%, even as the inflation remains above 2%.

The bank will cut rates as the economy has remained under pressure in the past few months. For example, a report released on Tuesday showed that the unemployment rate rose to 5.1% from the previous 5.0%. The average earnings with bonus dropped to 4.7% from the previous 4.9%.

US consumer inflation data 

The next important catalyst for the GBP/USD exchange rate will be the upcoming US consumer inflation report, which will come out on Thursday.

Economists polled by Reuters and Bloomberg expect the upcoming US inflation report will come in at 3.0%, much higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2.0%.

Data compiled by Polymarket also places the odds of inflation coming in at 3.0% rising to 44%. It is followed by 3.1%, which is at 42%.

The US inflation report comes a week after the Federal Reserve delivered the third interest rate cut of the year and pointed to one more in 2026. 

GBP/USD technical analysis 

GBP/USD
GBPUSD chart |Source: TradingView 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the GBP/USD exchange rate rose from the psychological level of 1.3000 in November to a high of 1.3460.

It pulled back to a low 1.3327, its lowest level on October 10. It has dropped to the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages.

The pair has formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which is a common bullish reversal sign. Therefore, the pair will likely rebound as bulls target the next psychological level at 1.3500. A move above that level will point to more gains, potentially to the year-to-date high of 1.3725

The post GBP/USD forecast as odds of BoE interest rate cut jump on Polymarket appeared first on Invezz

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18 12, 2025

ETHUSD Plummets to $2810: Is Another Drop Ahead for Ethereum USD?

By |2025-12-18T05:50:35+02:00December 18, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

Ethereum USD (ETHUSD) has seen a sharp drop to $2810.69, a significant decrease of $153.71 since opening. This downturn, reflected by a 5.19% drop today, raises questions about the market’s next move for this top cryptocurrency.

Current Price Movement and Volatility

Ethereum USD has just hit $2810.69, recording a notable decline of 5.19% today. The intraday low touched $2790.01, while the high reached $3028.99. With a market cap of approximately $354 billion, Ethereum’s trading volume climbed to 369,841,310, surpassing its average volume of 291,012,931. This surge in volume indicates growing market interest amidst volatility.

Technical Indicators Signal Bearish Sentiment

Several technical indicators suggest a bearish trend for Ethereum USD. The RSI stands at 40.89, indicating potential oversold conditions. The MACD, at -86.59 with a histogram of 36.25, further supports a bearish outlook. Meanwhile, the ADX at 38.15 shows a strong trend, reinforcing current market conditions.

Forecasts and Future Outlooks

ETHUSD’s monthly forecast predicts a potential dip to $2644.67, aligning with current bearish signals. However, a quarterly forecast of $3457.34 suggests possible recovery in the medium term. Long-term predictions show promising growth, with a yearly target of $3367.76 and a five-year forecast of $4809.89. Forecasts can change due to macroeconomic shifts, regulations, or unexpected events affecting the crypto market.

Market Sentiment and News Impact

Recent coverage by Yahoo Finance highlights broader market declines impacting Ethereum. With major cryptos experiencing downturns, Ethereum’s recent price action reflects broader market jitters. The fluctuating sentiment underscores caution, and traders are closely monitoring global economic pointers and regulatory updates for cues.

Final Thoughts

Ethereum USD’s recent price drop highlights significant market volatility. While technical indicators lean bearish, the forecast suggests mixed signals with potential for mid-term recovery. Traders should stay informed, considering factors like economic policy changes or regulatory shifts that could alter the crypto landscape drastically.

FAQs

What is the current price of ETHUSD?

As of the latest data, the price of ETHUSD is $2810.69 after a decline of 5.19% today, dropping by $153.71 from its previous close of $2964.4.
ETHUSD

What are the key technical indicators for Ethereum USD?

Key indicators include an RSI of 40.89, MACD at -86.59, and ADX at 38.15, all pointing to a bearish sentiment in the current market conditions for ETHUSD.

What are the future price forecasts for ETHUSD?

The monthly forecast is $2644.67, while the quarterly forecast is $3457.34. Long-term projections expect ETHUSD to reach $3367.76 annually and $4809.89 in five years.

How does recent news influence the ETHUSD price?

Recent news coverage indicates broader market declines, impacting Ethereum USD and reflecting general market uncertainty. Economic policies and regulations are closely watched for potential impacts.

Is Ethereum USD expected to recover soon?

While current technical indicators show a bearish trend, the mid-term forecast suggests a possible recovery. Traders should keep an eye on macroeconomic and regulatory developments.

Disclaimer:


Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only.
The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice.
Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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18 12, 2025

Coinbase Unveils Prediction Markets, Stock Trading and Solana DeFi Integration

By |2025-12-18T04:43:52+02:00December 18, 2025|News, NFT News|0 Comments


In brief

  • Coinbase will allow customers to trade stocks that aren’t tokenized.
  • The firm will also offer access to Kalshi-powered prediction markets.
  • The exchange’s app now supports novel assets on Solana.

Coinbase signaled on Wednesday that its platform is expanding beyond digital assets, with U.S. customers gaining access to traditional stock trading as part of a sweeping update.

In a livestreamed event, the exchange detailed changes to over a dozen new and existing products, ranging from prediction markets to decentralized finance on Solana, as well as an end-to-end platform for creating digital representations of real-world assets.

As a commission-free brokerage, Coinbase said it will support thousands of equities and exchange-traded funds in the coming months, which trade five days a week. The company also plans to introduce perpetual futures tied to stocks outside the U.S. next year.

The offering mirrors services offered by competitors like Kraken and Robinhood, which Coinbase described as an “important milestone toward enabling tokenized stocks.” Coinbase also plans to debut a service allowing institutions to tokenize assets.

In an interview with Decrypt, Coinbase Head of Trading Scott Shapiro said the company hopes to offer access to tokenized stock trading in the coming quarter. He noted that Coinbase’s stock offering, from the get-go, is compatible with Circle’s USDC stablecoin.

“There’s still a lot of work to do,” he said, explaining that the tokenization timeline is largely dependent on guidance being crafted by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. “The government shutdown obviously didn’t help.”

Shapiro said that Coinbase’s model for tokenization will allow market participants to “wrap and unwrap” traditional shares, which can move across various blockchains and applications while “the underlying stock is still custodied in a safe place.”

Following Robinhood’s support of Kalshi-powered prediction markets this summer, Coinbase indicated that its entry into space will also tap the Polymarket competitor. The company noted that it plans to integrate additional prediction market platforms in the future.

The company said that it will also allow U.S. customers to trade perpetual futures, which allow traders to indefinitely hold leveraged positions tied to digital assets. In July, Coinbase began offering perpetual-style futures for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The company said that customers can now trade any asset that’s supported on a Solana-based decentralized exchange directly within Coinbase’s mobile app. The feature was teased in August, when Coinbase first offered access to tokens on its Ethereum layer-2 network, Base.

“With millions of assets on Base and Solana now available by default in the main Coinbase app, we’ll continue expanding to further networks over time,” a company blog post stated.

Coinbase highlighted that its Base app, a rebrand of the company’s self-custody wallet, has become available in 140 countries. The app allows users to earn from posts and play games, blending social elements with features that crypto users have grown accustomed to.

The company said its “system update” also entails an AI-powered advisor for wealth management that can help customers build portfolios or digest news.

Finally, the exchange said that it would offer a service allowing companies to create custom stablecoins, allowing them to put their “brand front-and-center in every transaction.” That dovetails with x402, an internet standard stablecoin payments that can be used to power AI agent payments, the exchange added.

Analysts at investment bank Compass Point estimated this week that Coinbase could take in $230 million annually from prediction markets. However, analysts at investment bank Mizuho also warned that a significant portion of users are likely to sell crypto to fund wagers.

Coinbase shares changed hands around $244 on Wednesday, according to Yahoo Finance. The company’s stock price has declined around nearly 2% year-to-date, as it continues to lay the groundwork for its vision for the future of finance.

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18 12, 2025

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Quick Reclaim of 200-Day – Counter-Trend Rally Begins

By |2025-12-18T04:38:37+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


False Breakdown Context

Tuesday’s decline was confirmed with a daily close below both dynamic trend indicators, but Wednesday’s swift response turned it into a potential false breakdown. The completion of the key Fibonacci retracement, together with this quick reclaim, suggests a counter-trend rally may have started. Tuesday marked the seventh consecutive day of lower daily highs and lows that followed a minor three-year high of $5.02 reached earlier this month.

Prior Breakdown Recap

The 50-day average was broken a week ago Tuesday, followed by a drop through the lower trendline of a rising channel that accelerated the decline to the 200-day average. Sharp moves commonly follow failed breakouts, and the rapid recovery on Wednesday fits that classic pattern.

Short-Term Resistance Cluster

The most obvious potential resistance zone if natural gas continues strengthening short-term spans from a November swing low of $4.09 up to the 50% retracement at $4.32. Included within that band is the 50-day average at $4.26 currently, while the falling 20-day average at $4.34 will soon enter the range. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement also sits inside at $4.15. A swing back to test prior support areas as resistance is a natural progression following the breakdown of an advancing trend channel.

Confirmation Levels

Key near-term support now rests at Wednesday’s low of $3.69; a drop below shows weakness rather than additional strength. A rally above Monday’s high of $3.92 further confirms the bullish reversal and raises odds that the higher resistance zone gets tested on this bounce.

Outlook

Natural gas has flipped from a confirmed breakdown of the 200-day average with Tuesday’s close below the average, to a potential false breakdown with the rapid reclaim of the 200-day average and trendline off the 61.8% Fib completion. Hold $3.69 and push above $3.92 to target $4.09–$4.32; failure to defend current lows re-exposes deeper correction, while the counter-trend rally case stays favored until proven otherwise.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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18 12, 2025

Bitcoin Slips Near $86,000 as ETF Outflows and Risk-Off Mood Shape the Forecast

By |2025-12-18T03:48:35+02:00December 18, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

Bitcoin’s USD price (BTC-USD) is trading in a tense range on December 17, 2025, as traders weigh conflicting signals: persistent U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF outflows, a still-uncertain Federal Reserve rate path, and evidence that institutional interest remains real—but increasingly selective.

As of writing, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is around $86,108, down about 1.6% versus the prior close, after printing an intraday high near $90,187 and low near $85,355.

That level keeps BTC well below its October peak (around the mid-$126,000s), and it helps explain why “year-end rebound” headlines are being met with skepticism across both crypto-native and traditional markets. [1]

Bitcoin price today: BTC-USD holds the mid-$80,000s after a volatile December

While price action has been choppy, several market reads describe Bitcoin as range-bound rather than in free-fall.

  • Investing.com reported BTC trading above $88,000 earlier Wednesday (U.S. morning), but noted gains were limited by ongoing ETF outflows and uncertainty around the Fed’s interest-rate outlook. [2]
  • Glassnode’s Dec. 17 “Week On-Chain” analysis similarly framed Bitcoin as “trapped” under heavy overhead supply, with price recently rejected near ~$93k and drifting lower—behavior consistent with a market leaning more toward time-based consolidation than a clean trend reversal. [3]

In other words: BTC-USD is still moving fast (as it always can), but the bigger story today is the tug-of-war between structural support and overhead selling pressure.

What’s moving Bitcoin today: the 3 biggest drivers in the news on Dec. 17, 2025

1) Spot Bitcoin ETF flows: outflows are back in focus

One of the most watched BTC-USD drivers in late 2025 remains spot ETF flow momentum—and the latest data has turned into a clear headline.

Farside Investors data shows U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of about $277.2 million on Dec. 16, with IBIT at -$210.7 million, while FBTC showed +$26.7 million (and several others were negative or flat). [4]

That matters because multiple market notes argue ETF demand is now the “swing factor” for Bitcoin—especially as other sources of incremental buying have slowed (more on that below). [5]

2) Macro uncertainty: Fed path and inflation data are driving risk appetite

Bitcoin has increasingly traded like a high-beta risk asset in 2025—moving with (and sometimes exaggerating) shifts in broader risk sentiment.

Investing.com explicitly pointed to:

  • Mixed labor-market signals complicating expectations for the pace of future Fed cuts, and
  • U.S. inflation data due Thursday as the next key macro catalyst. [6]

That “macro-first” framing also shows up in on-chain commentary: Glassnode described weak ETF flows, thin spot liquidity, and defensive positioning leaving BTC sensitive to macro catalysts. [7]

3) Post-drawdown positioning: investors are more cautious, leverage is being managed

A Reuters analysis published today says the recent downturn has pushed investors toward risk-managed strategies, highlighting a broader shift: crypto exposure is increasingly expressed through ETFs, options, and structured tools, rather than pure directional bets. [8]

Reuters also emphasized how the downturn hit some of the most “hyped” corners of the market—particularly bitcoin-treasury companies, whose premiums have compressed sharply as BTC fell from its October highs. [9]

BTC-USD forecast: key support and resistance levels analysts are watching

Forecasts for Bitcoin tend to cluster around levels—because in crypto, narratives often change at specific prices.

Here are the most-cited BTC-USD zones in today’s analysis:

Support zone: $81,000–$82,000 (then $80,000 as the line in the sand)

  • Glassnode identifies support near ~$81k and discusses the “True Market Mean” around $81.3k as a level defended by patient buyers. [10]
  • DailyForex calls $80,000 the market’s “floor” in the current setup. [11]
  • Barron’s cited a view that BTC could test $80,000–$82,000 if risk aversion persists. [12]

Why this area matters: If Bitcoin loses the low-$80Ks, the market conversation can quickly shift from “consolidation” to “breakdown.”

Resistance zone: $93,000–$95,000 (then $100,000+)

  • Glassnode highlights rejection near ~$93k and flags that failure to reclaim ~$95k keeps upside constrained. [13]
  • DailyForex places resistance near $95,000 (around the 50-day EMA), with $100,000 as the next psychological test if bulls regain control. [14]

Why this area matters: A clean break above ~$95k would reduce the “overhead supply” pressure narrative and could shift market tone quickly back toward $100k debates.

Short-term Bitcoin price prediction: 3 scenarios for the days ahead

No one can forecast Bitcoin perfectly—especially in a market where macro headlines can reprice risk in minutes. But today’s research largely points to scenario planning.

Scenario A: Range holds (most consistent with today’s positioning)

If ETF flows remain mixed and macro data doesn’t surprise, analysts describing BTC as “range-bound” see price oscillating between low-$80Ks support and mid-$90Ks resistance into year-end. [15]

Glassnode also notes large December options expiries (including Dec. 26) may contribute to “pinning” behavior that reinforces range trading. [16]

Scenario B: Bear break below $80,000

A decisive move below $80k is the level where several forecasts get harsher. DailyForex suggests that a breakdown could open the door to much deeper downside targets (with $65k mentioned as a potential level in that scenario). [17]

Scenario C: Bull reclaim above $95,000

If macro risk sentiment improves and ETF flows stabilize, a move above ~$95k is widely treated as the “regain momentum” trigger, with $100k the next major psychological battleground. [18]

Longer-term Bitcoin forecast: what major institutions and analysts are projecting for 2026+

Long-range BTC-USD forecasts vary wildly—but a few calls are dominating the December conversation because they come with clear assumptions about where demand will come from next.

Standard Chartered: $150,000 by end-2026, $500,000 by 2030 (but slower than previously expected)

Reuters’ Live Markets report (Dec. 10) said Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick cut 2025 and 2026 forecasts in half, now expecting around $100,000 by end-2025 and $150,000 by end-2026, while still keeping a longer-run view that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2030. [19]

Investing.com’s coverage adds important color: Kendrick argued the recent drawdown is steep but “within historical norms,” and that future upside is expected to be driven largely by ETF inflows, with bitcoin-treasury-company buying no longer assumed to be a reliable incremental support. [20]

That same demand-shift theme is echoed in Reuters’ broader Dec. 17 analysis: the crypto market is “maturing,” with more structured tools and more nuanced exposure replacing the earlier era of reflexive leverage. [21]

Media and retail-facing forecasts: $200,000 in 2026 is possible—but increasingly framed as a “high bar”

The Motley Fool’s Dec. 17 piece explicitly questions whether BTC can hit $200,000 in 2026, calling the “more than doubling” required from current levels a tall task and pointing to more cautious outlooks after the late-2025 pullback. [22]

While these aren’t bank research notes, they’re indicative of a broader shift in tone: fewer “straight line up” calls, more probability-weighted framing around macro conditions, ETF flows, and risk sentiment.

The bigger story behind today’s BTC-USD price: Bitcoin is institutional—but it still trades on risk

One of the most important through-lines in today’s reporting is the idea that Bitcoin has become more “institutional” in market structure—without necessarily becoming less volatile.

Reuters highlighted ongoing institutional involvement (including endowments and sovereign wealth funds) even as investors get more cautious after the drawdown. [23]

At the same time, crypto’s relationship with broader tech-and-risk narratives continues to show up in coverage. Barron’s described Bitcoin as behaving less like gold and more like a risk-sensitive asset tied to broader market sentiment, while warning of downside tests if risk aversion persists. [24]

What to watch next for Bitcoin (BTC-USD)

If you’re tracking Bitcoin price today with an eye on the forecast, the next catalysts most cited in today’s reporting are:

  • U.S. inflation data (Thursday) and how it reshapes rate-cut expectations [25]
  • Daily spot Bitcoin ETF flow data, especially whether outflows continue or reverse [26]
  • Whether BTC holds $81k–$80k support (a level cited across multiple analyses) [27]
  • Whether BTC can reclaim ~$95k resistance, which several analysts treat as the momentum reset point [28]

References

1. www.reuters.com, 2. www.investing.com, 3. insights.glassnode.com, 4. farside.co.uk, 5. www.investing.com, 6. www.investing.com, 7. insights.glassnode.com, 8. www.reuters.com, 9. www.reuters.com, 10. insights.glassnode.com, 11. www.dailyforex.com, 12. www.barrons.com, 13. insights.glassnode.com, 14. www.dailyforex.com, 15. insights.glassnode.com, 16. insights.glassnode.com, 17. www.dailyforex.com, 18. www.dailyforex.com, 19. www.reuters.com, 20. www.investing.com, 21. www.reuters.com, 22. www.fool.com, 23. www.reuters.com, 24. www.barrons.com, 25. www.investing.com, 26. farside.co.uk, 27. insights.glassnode.com, 28. insights.glassnode.com

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18 12, 2025

XAG/USD Breaks Above $66 on Record Run, Rate-Cut Bets and a Supply Squeeze

By |2025-12-18T02:37:31+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Silver extended its explosive 2025 rally on Wednesday, December 17, 2025, pushing deeper into record territory as momentum traders, industrial buyers, and macro investors piled into the “white metal” at the same time.

At roughly 12:17 (time-stamp on live pricing feeds), spot silver (XAG/USD) traded around $66.35 per ounce, up about 4% on the session, with the day’s range stretching from roughly $63.68 to $66.56. [1]

That move came after silver briefly cleared $66 and set a fresh all-time high around $66.52/oz, according to Reuters, as markets reacted to a softer labor-market narrative, shifting rate expectations, and a broader bid across precious metals. [2]

Silver price today at 12:17: where the market stands right now

The live tape tells the story of a market in “price discovery” mode:

  • Spot silver (XAG/USD): ~ $66.35/oz at 12:18:17 on the feed (used here as the closest read to 12:17). [3]
  • Session move: roughly +4% at that time stamp. [4]
  • Intraday high: around $66.52–$66.56, depending on the feed. [5]
  • Big picture: Reuters pegged silver’s 2025 gain at roughly +126%, outpacing gold’s ~+65% annual rise. [6]

Silver’s surge is also happening in a broader “white metals” upswing: Reuters reported platinum hitting a 17-year high and palladium moving higher in the same risk-on/rate-cut setup, reinforcing the sense that investors are rotating across the complex rather than treating this as a silver-only story. [7]

What’s driving silver’s surge: the three forces behind the rally

Silver is unusual because it trades like both a precious metal and an industrial input. This week’s price action reflects all of that “dual identity” firing at once.

1) Rate-cut expectations are back in the driver’s seat

Silver doesn’t pay interest, so the metal tends to benefit when markets expect lower policy rates and easier financial conditions.

Reuters tied Wednesday’s push to renewed expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve easing after signs of labor-market softening and investor positioning for additional 2026 cuts. The same Reuters report also pointed to safe-haven support stemming from heightened geopolitical tension around Venezuela. [8]

2) A physical market that looks tight (and feels tighter when money pours in)

A major theme in the latest round of analysis is that silver’s rally isn’t only “paper-driven.” Analysts argue the physical side is strained—then gets even tighter when investment products absorb metal.

An Investing.com analysis highlighted how silver-backed ETPs (exchange-traded products) have added an estimated 187 million ounces in 2025 (an ~18% increase in holdings), and emphasized that metal held in ETPs is effectively removed from the pool available to industry and some settlement flows. [9]

Trefis echoed the same core mechanism: once ETF flows flip positive, “paper demand” can turn into a real-world price accelerant because physical inventory has to be sourced and warehoused. [10]

3) Industrial demand and the “critical mineral” narrative are reinforcing the bid

Beyond the macro and flows story, silver’s bullish case still leans heavily on industrial use—especially as electrification and “green tech” expand.

A key policy tailwind in the background: the U.S. Geological Survey notes that the final 2025 U.S. critical minerals list adds silver among the newly included minerals, tying the metal more explicitly to supply-chain security and strategic planning. [11]

That designation doesn’t automatically change supply/demand overnight, but it can reshape how market participants talk about silver—particularly around inventories, sourcing, and the longer-run importance of reliable supply.

What changed since Dec. 15, 2025: the key news, forecasts, and analyses in the last 48 hours

Below is the clearest “through-line” from the most recent coverage and commentary published since December 15, 2025—the window you requested.

Dec. 15, 2025: Analysts focus on a breakout market and a demand shock

Forecast chatter turned more aggressive. Technical and macro-focused market commentary argued that silver’s momentum was being reinforced by supportive macro conditions and policy narratives.

  • FXLeaders framed the move as a continuation of silver’s breakout and highlighted the $70/oz area as a logical milestone for bulls in a momentum-driven market. [12]
  • Investing.com’s analysis leaned into the idea of industrial demand colliding with large investment inflows, emphasizing the scale of ETP accumulation as a core stressor for the market. [13]
  • INN’s “Silver Price Forecast” package (dated Dec. 15) argued that silver’s structural deficit story remains central, citing Metals Focus estimates for continued deficits into 2026 (though potentially smaller than 2025). [14]
  • Trefis summarized 2025’s surge as a “supply-and-demand squeeze,” spotlighting the combination of stronger industrial pull and the sudden return of investment flows. [15]

How this mattered for price: Dec. 15 reads like the point where a lot of market commentary stopped treating silver as a “catch-up trade” and started treating it as a standalone leadership trade—which can feed momentum when positioning is underbuilt.

Dec. 16, 2025: A more cautious institutional tone emerges (even as the rally holds)

As silver consolidated and traders debated how much of the move is “fundamental” versus “flow-driven,” bank research introduced an important counterweight:

  • Reuters reported Morgan Stanley’s view that silver may lag gold, and that 2025 could mark a peak supply deficit with solar installations expected to fall in 2026—a notable caution given how central solar demand is to many bullish narratives. [16]

Meanwhile, mainstream market trackers continued to anchor the move in eye-catching spot levels: Fortune’s commodity snapshot (Dec. 16) put silver at about $63.37/oz at 8:30 a.m. ET, underscoring how elevated prices already were even before Wednesday’s fresh highs. [17]

How this mattered for sentiment: When a market is ripping higher, the most important “bearish” inputs often aren’t outright negative calls—they’re reasons the upside might slow. Morgan Stanley’s argument effectively says: even if precious metals stay strong, silver’s 2026 incremental demand may not be as one-way as the 2025 narrative suggests. [18]

Dec. 17, 2025: Silver breaks above $66, and $70 becomes the “next number”

On Wednesday, silver moved from “strong” to “headline” again:

  • Reuters reported spot silver touching a record ~$66.52/oz and quoted a market view that $70/oz looks like a logical next target in the near term, while also describing rotation flows out of gold and into silver and other white metals. [19]
  • Reuters also tied the day’s move to shifting rate expectations and geopolitical risk, with markets watching upcoming U.S. inflation releases (CPI and PCE) as the next potential volatility trigger. [20]

In short: Dec. 15 built the narrative, Dec. 16 introduced pushback, and Dec. 17 confirmed the market still wants higher prices.

Silver price forecast: where analysts see XAG/USD heading next

Forecasting silver right now is less about pinning down a single number and more about mapping scenarios—because silver’s volatility cuts both ways.

Near-term (days to weeks): $70 is the widely cited “magnet level”

Two separate strands of coverage converged on the same milestone:

  • Reuters cited a view that $70/oz is the next logical target in the short term. [21]
  • FXLeaders similarly highlighted the $70 area as a key psychological level as the market extends its breakout. [22]

What would likely support a push to $70: cooling inflation surprises, weaker real yields, continued ETF/ETP inflows, and sustained physical tightness.

What could block it: a sharp rebound in the U.S. dollar, hotter inflation prints that force repricing of rate cuts, or aggressive profit-taking after such a rapid run.

2026 outlook: bullish long-term stories vs. real risk of a “demand air pocket”

This is where forecasts start to diverge.

The bullish camp:
INN’s Dec. 15 forecast roundup emphasizes the idea of a persistent structural supply deficit and argues that even if deficits shrink, they can still underpin prices—especially if investment demand remains firm. [23]

A separate, more aggressive public-market forecast surfaced via Barron’s reporting from a December 2025 event: strategist Mary Ann Bartels (Sanctuary Wealth) floated $80–$100/oz as a potential silver range in her 2026 outlook remarks. [24]

The cautious institutional view:
Morgan Stanley’s note (via Reuters) is a reminder that silver’s 2025 setup may not repeat cleanly: the bank expects silver to underperform gold and flags the possibility that the supply deficit peaks in 2025, partly due to falling solar installations in 2026. [25]

How to reconcile these:

  • If 2026 sees easing monetary policy and strong investment demand persists, the “bull case” can stay alive even if some industrial segments cool.
  • If industrial demand (especially solar-linked) slows meaningfully and investor flows fade, silver can still remain high—but the path may be choppier, with bigger pullbacks.

Why “critical mineral” status matters more than it sounds

Silver’s addition to the U.S. critical minerals list is not a day-to-day trading signal—but it can influence policy focus, permitting priorities, and the way investors frame long-term supply risk.

USGS explains that the final list identifies minerals vital to the U.S. economy and national security that face potential supply disruption risks, and that the 2025 update added silver among other minerals. [26]

That policy backdrop is one reason the metal is increasingly discussed in the same breath as other strategic inputs used in electrification and advanced manufacturing—even as it remains a traditional precious metal.

What to watch next: the catalysts that could move silver after today’s record

Silver is now so headline-driven that the next major macro print can matter as much as physical-market signals.

1) U.S. inflation data (CPI and PCE)
Reuters notes markets are looking to upcoming releases—CPI and PCE—as the next major inputs into rate expectations and, by extension, precious metals pricing. [27]

2) The path of Fed cuts into 2026
Reuters reported that investors are pricing two 25-basis-point cuts in 2026, reinforcing the macro tailwind for non-yielding metals. [28]

3) ETP/ETF flows and inventory signals
If the “ETP absorption” story continues at scale, it can keep the market tight. If flows reverse, the same channel can amplify downside volatility. [29]

4) Industrial demand signals (especially solar-linked)
Morgan Stanley’s caution about solar installations in 2026 is a reminder that not all industrial demand is guaranteed to accelerate indefinitely. [30]

Bottom line

As of 12:17 today, silver is trading like a market where macro tailwinds (rate-cut bets), policy narratives (critical mineral status), and real-world constraints (tight physical supply plus investment absorption) are reinforcing each other—pushing XAG/USD to fresh records above $66/oz. [31]

The near-term “number” most analysts and traders keep circling is $70/oz, but forecasts for 2026 are increasingly split between very bullish upside cases and more cautious bank research that argues silver’s strongest deficit dynamics may cool. [32]

References

1. www.investing.com, 2. www.reuters.com, 3. www.investing.com, 4. www.investing.com, 5. www.reuters.com, 6. www.reuters.com, 7. www.reuters.com, 8. www.reuters.com, 9. www.investing.com, 10. www.trefis.com, 11. www.usgs.gov, 12. www.fxleaders.com, 13. www.investing.com, 14. investingnews.com, 15. www.trefis.com, 16. www.reuters.com, 17. fortune.com, 18. www.reuters.com, 19. www.reuters.com, 20. www.reuters.com, 21. www.reuters.com, 22. www.fxleaders.com, 23. investingnews.com, 24. www.barrons.com, 25. www.reuters.com, 26. www.usgs.gov, 27. www.reuters.com, 28. www.reuters.com, 29. www.investing.com, 30. www.reuters.com, 31. www.investing.com, 32. www.reuters.com



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18 12, 2025

Probiotic cuts kids fever duration over one day

By |2025-12-18T01:56:33+02:00December 18, 2025|Dietary Supplements News, News|0 Comments


Cold and flu season is in full swing, giving the supplement industry more opportunity than ever to support the immune health of consumers. From mushrooms and herbs to emerging biotic solutions playing on the gut-immune connection, formulation options are plentiful (check out the immune health digital magazine to learn more).

To that end, researchers studied the impact of supplementation with a combination probiotic on upper respiratory illnesses in children. The results showed impressive outcomes, demonstrating great benefit for children battling seasonal bugs.

Why is this important?

The common cold is a common nuisance – it is one of the top primary diagnoses at doctor office visits. As with many viral infections, there often is little to be done besides treating the symptoms and waiting it out. 

Few supplements demonstrate proven ability to shorten duration of viral illnesses. While antiviral medication requires a prescription, probiotics may provide a convenient and safe over-the-counter option that is a low-risk, high-reward method for aiding quicker recovery from viruses.

Probiotics make use of the well-established connection between the gut microbiome and immune health. In fact, the digestive tract houses a large portion of the immune system in the form of gut-associated lymphoid tissue. This means dietary intervention – especially supplements including prebiotics and probiotics – are a helpful strategy for the treatment and prevention of various health issues, including viral illnesses. 

Related:Immune evolution: Forming a new foundation – digital magazine

What are the key takeaways from this probiotic study?

Children whom pediatricians diagnosed with an upper respiratory virus experienced a significant decrease in the duration of fever as well as pain and discomfort. This finding was consistent across all viruses – respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), coronaviruses, rhinoviruses, etc. – showing the supplement is a useful add-on treatment for upper respiratory illness.

What ingredient was studied?

The probiotic is a blend of four lactic acid bacteria strains: Pediococcus acidilactici KABP021 (CECT7483) and Lactiplantibacillus plantarum strains KABP022 (CECT7484), KABP023 (CECT7485) and KABP033 (CECT30292), marketed as AB21 by Kaneka Probiotics.

What were the details of the clinical trial?

  • Design: Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

  • Study size: 75 children, ages 6 months to 5 years, diagnosed by a pediatrician with an upper respiratory infection accompanied by fever and pharyngitis. 

  • Length: Participants took the supplement or placebo for 15 days; follow-up continued for an additional 45 days.

  • Dosage: One capsule with 2 billion CFUs (colony-forming units) or greater of the AB21 probiotic blend or placebo, taken twice daily. Parents or caregivers dissolved the capsule contents in water or milk prior to administration. Supplementation began within 48 hours of onset of symptoms.

  • Outcomes measured: Number of days with fever, number of days with pain or discomfort defined as a score of greater than 3 on the FLACC (face, legs, activity, crying and consolability) scale, number of days with symptoms, co-medication use to treat fevers or nasal congestion.

Related:Creatine suggested as useful aid for post viral fatigue

What were the results?

Children who received the probiotic experienced 1.1 fewer days of fever and 0.7 fewer days of pain or discomfort as compared to children who received the placebo. Both decreases were statistically significant. 

There was no significant difference between supplement or placebo groups regarding co-medication use or reports of adverse events. Participants reported no severe adverse effects. There were some reports of self-limiting gastrointestinal (GI) illness, although this was the same for both groups and several participants reported GI symptoms at baseline.

How does this build upon prior research?

Related:Discover science-backed solutions to nourish children’s gut-immune and eye-brain health – white paper

This was the first study evaluating the impact of AB21 supplementation in children with upper respiratory viral illness. 

Researchers previously studied AB21 in a clinical trial with adult Covid-19 patients, which showed participants receiving the probiotic cleared the virus and recovered from symptoms faster as compared with those receiving the placebo. Patients receiving the probiotic also had an increase in Covid-19-specific immunoglobulins.

There are several clinical trials in the published literature showing the benefit of various strains of probiotics in the face of respiratory illness, mainly in adults. Reviews and meta-analyses suggest the results are mixed but support the notion probiotics are helpful against viral respiratory illnesses. A meta-analysis on athletes showed probiotics decreased severity of symptoms but did not decrease illness duration.





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18 12, 2025

critical support tested as reversal signals emerge

By |2025-12-18T01:47:40+02:00December 18, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

The Cardano market is navigating a decisive phase as price action compresses around a long-defended technical zone.

At press time, Cardano (ADA) was trading near $0.396, up about 2.7% over the past 24 hours.

But despite the short-term bounce, ADA price remains down roughly 14% on the week and close to 19% over the past month, reflecting persistent pressure across the broader crypto market.

Support holds while volatility cools

Cardano price has spent recent sessions probing the $0.37–$0.40 region, an area that has emerged as critical support on multiple timeframes.

This zone has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure following a sharp pullback from above $0.40, where profit-taking intensified amid a broader Bitcoin-led sell-off.

Earlier today, the market briefly lost the $0.38 handle before bouncing back and stabilising, keeping the focus firmly on whether buyers can continue to defend the lower boundary.

From a technical standpoint, ADA is sitting on a multi-year ascending trendline that has historically separated prolonged corrections from recovery phases.

Sssebi🦁

$ADA is holding the multi year trendline so far.

We need a strong bounce from here to engage a reversal.

Image

Rather than breaking decisively lower, the price has compressed along this trendline, suggesting consolidation rather than capitulation.

Trading volume remains elevated near $500 million over 24 hours, but the balance between buyers and sellers still appears fragile, with technical momentum indicators reflecting this tension.

Oscillators such as RSI and Stochastic RSI remain bearish, while deeply negative readings on momentum measures hint at oversold conditions. Mostly, this combination often precedes short-term relief rallies, though it does not guarantee a trend change on its own.

Reversal signals begin to stack up

Several analysts argue that Cardano price forecast models are starting to lean constructive as downside momentum shows signs of exhaustion.

According to Ali Matinez, a TD Sequential buy signal has appeared on the daily chart, highlighting $0.37 as the key invalidation level.

As long as ADA holds above that threshold, the model allows for a recovery path toward the $0.50–$0.54 zone, which aligns with prior reaction highs.

Chart structure also supports this view since Cardano has been trading within a falling channel for several months, as highlighted by analyst Nehal, and recent price action suggests selling pressure is weakening near the lower boundary.

A confirmed breakout above the channel’s upper trendline would shift focus toward higher resistance between $0.60 and $0.68, levels defined by earlier consolidation and volume clusters.

Beyond near-term signals, longer-cycle analysis adds another layer.

TradingView analyst Migoreng_wrap frames the current decline as the latter stage of a corrective Wave 2 within a broader Elliott Wave Pattern.

In this view, the low near $0.37 completes the correction following the prior impulse that carried ADA to $1.32 in late 2024.

If the structure holds, a powerful Wave 3 could follow, with projections that ultimately challenge and exceed the previous all-time high.

Fundamentals are also part of the conversation with ongoing efforts to expand stablecoin liquidity and treasury-backed DeFi initiatives aiming to address long-standing constraints within the Cardano ecosystem.

At the same time, scaling solutions and privacy-focused infrastructure are designed to improve execution speed and institutional readiness, factors that could matter if market sentiment turns.

The post Cardano price forecast: critical support tested as reversal signals emerge appeared first on Invezz



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18 12, 2025

Copper price repeats the positive closes– Forecast today – 17-12-2025

By |2025-12-18T00:36:43+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Copper price continued providing positive closing, taking advantage of its stability within the main bullish channel levels, surpassing the negativity of the intraday indicators by its stability above $5.1300 support.

 

Stochastic fluctuating near 80 level makes us expect to begin forming bullish waves to reach $5.5000, and surpassing it will open the way for achieving extra gains that may begin at $5.6300 and $5.7400.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $5.2000 and $5.5000

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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18 12, 2025

British Pound to Dollar Forecast: GBP/USD Weighed by Dovish BoE Expectations

By |2025-12-18T00:04:32+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


– Written by

STORY LINK British Pound to Dollar Forecast: GBP/USD Weighed by Dovish BoE Expectations

The Pound to US Dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) retreated on Wednesday, sliding to its lowest level in a week after softer-than-expected UK inflation data fuelled expectations of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut.

At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading around $1.3351, down roughly 0.5% on the day.

The Pound (GBP) came under notable pressure after the UK’s latest consumer price index revealed a sharper slowdown in inflation than markets had anticipated.

Headline CPI fell from 3.6% in October to 3.2% in November, undershooting forecasts for a more modest easing to 3.5%. Core inflation also surprised on the downside, slipping from 3.4% to 3.2% instead of holding steady.

The softer inflation data reinforced conviction that the Bank of England will cut interest rates at Thursday’s policy meeting. It also strengthened bets that policymakers may pursue a more aggressive easing cycle in early 2026, prompting Sterling to weaken as rate cut expectations were repriced.

The US Dollar (USD), meanwhile, found some support on Wednesday as markets modestly scaled back expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Although recent US labour market indicators continue to point to cooling conditions, November’s non-farm payrolls report proved less negative than feared. This led to a slight recalibration of Fed policy expectations, helping the Dollar regain some ground.

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Additional support for the ‘Greenback’ came from softer risk appetite, with investors seeking safety amid rising tensions between the US and Venezuela.

GBP/USD Exchange Rate Forecast: Dovish BoE Cut to Pressure the Pound?

Attention now turns to the Bank of England’s interest rate decision on Thursday, which is set to be the key driver for GBP/USD.

While a rate cut is widely expected and largely priced in, Sterling’s reaction will depend heavily on the BoE’s guidance. A clearly dovish tone — signalling scope for multiple rate cuts in 2026 — could leave the Pound vulnerable to renewed selling pressure.

In the US, focus will shift to the latest consumer price index. Evidence that inflation remains sticky may help underpin the US Dollar, while signs of a clearer slowdown in price growth could sap USD demand and add volatility to the pairing.

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