Jan 28, 2026

IndexBox has just published a new report: United Kingdom – Coffee (Green) – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.

The UK green coffee market saw a significant contraction in consumption and imports in 2024, with consumption falling to 120K tons and imports to 146K tons. However, exports surged by 34% to 26K tons. Brazil remains the dominant import source, while Germany, France, and Belgium are the top export destinations. The market value is forecast to grow at a CAGR of +1.6% to $588M by 2035, despite a modest volume CAGR of +0.2%. Import and export prices rose sharply in 2024, indicating changing market dynamics.

Key Findings

• UK green coffee consumption dropped sharply to 120K tons in 2024, a -15.1% decrease from the previous year
• Market value is forecast for modest growth with a +1.6% CAGR, projected to reach $588M by 2035
• Brazil is the leading import source, supplying 44% of UK’s green coffee imports by volume
• Exports grew robustly by 34% in 2024, with Germany, France, and Belgium as the primary destinations
• Average import price increased significantly by 14% to $4,482 per ton in 2024

Market Forecast

Driven by rising demand for green coffee in the UK, the market is expected to start an upward consumption trend over the next decade. The performance of the market is forecast to increase slightly, with an anticipated CAGR of +0.2% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 123K tons by the end of 2035.

In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +1.6% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $588M (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.

Consumption

United Kingdom’s Consumption of Green Coffee

In 2024, the amount of coffee (green) consumed in the UK fell rapidly to 120K tons, reducing by -15.1% compared with 2023. In general, consumption saw a slight setback. As a result, consumption reached the peak volume of 182K tons. From 2019 to 2024, the growth of the consumption failed to regain momentum.

The revenue of the green coffee market in the UK reduced to $496M in 2024, dropping by -7.2% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Over the period under review, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $586M. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports

United Kingdom’s Imports of Green Coffee

In 2024, imports of coffee (green) into the UK fell to 146K tons, waning by -9.2% on 2023 figures. In general, imports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 66%. As a result, imports reached the peak of 193K tons. From 2019 to 2024, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, green coffee imports rose slightly to $654M in 2024. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a perceptible increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, imports decreased by -8.4% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 with an increase of 57%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $714M. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports By Country

In 2024, Brazil (65K tons) constituted the largest green coffee supplier to the UK, accounting for a 44% share of total imports. Moreover, green coffee imports from Brazil exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Vietnam (25K tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Colombia (11K tons), with a 7.4% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of volume from Brazil stood at +6.9%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Vietnam (-4.0% per year) and Colombia (-4.7% per year).

In value terms, Brazil ($258M) constituted the largest supplier of coffee (green) to the UK, comprising 39% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Vietnam ($96M), with a 15% share of total imports. It was followed by Colombia, with a 9.2% share.

From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Brazil stood at +8.7%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Vietnam (+0.5% per year) and Colombia (-0.9% per year).

Import Prices By Country

In 2024, the average green coffee import price amounted to $4,482 per ton, increasing by 14% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a pronounced increase from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.2% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, green coffee import price increased by +69.5% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 an increase of 45% against the previous year. The import price peaked in 2024 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major supplying countries. In 2024, amid the top importers, the countries with the highest prices were Ethiopia ($5,774 per ton) and Colombia ($5,584 per ton), while the price for Vietnam ($3,864 per ton) and Indonesia ($3,952 per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Vietnam (+4.7%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Exports

United Kingdom’s Exports of Green Coffee

In 2024, approx. 26K tons of coffee (green) were exported from the UK; growing by 34% on the previous year. Overall, exports posted a resilient expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 with an increase of 101% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2024 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, green coffee exports skyrocketed to $122M in 2024. Over the period under review, exports posted a buoyant increase. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports By Country

Germany (6.5K tons), France (6K tons) and Belgium (3.2K tons) were the main destinations of green coffee exports from the UK, together comprising 60% of total exports.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +65.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($29M), France ($25M) and Belgium ($15M) constituted the largest markets for green coffee exported from the UK worldwide, with a combined 56% share of total exports.

Belgium, with a CAGR of +59.4%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, among the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices By Country

In 2024, the average green coffee export price amounted to $4,718 per ton, with an increase of 59% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The export price peaked at $5,684 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major external markets. In 2024, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Poland ($14,865 per ton), while the average price for exports to Italy ($3,837 per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Poland (+10.0%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Market Intelligence Platform

This report provides a comprehensive view of the green coffee industry in the United Kingdom, tracking demand, supply, and trade flows across the national value chain. It explains how demand across key channels and end-use segments shapes consumption patterns, while also mapping the role of input availability, production efficiency, and regulatory standards on supply.

Beyond headline metrics, the study benchmarks prices, margins, and trade routes so you can see where value is created and how it moves between domestic suppliers and international partners. The analysis is designed to support strategic planning, market entry, portfolio prioritization, and risk management in the green coffee landscape in the United Kingdom.

Quick navigation

Key findings

• Domestic demand is shaped by both household and industrial usage, with trade flows linking local supply to imports and exports.
• Pricing dynamics reflect unit values, freight costs, exchange rates, and regulatory shifts that affect sourcing decisions.
• Supply depends on input availability and production efficiency, creating a distinct national cost curve.
• Market concentration varies by segment, creating different competitive landscapes and entry barriers.
• The 2035 outlook highlights where capacity investment and demand growth are most aligned within the country.

Report scope

The report combines market sizing with trade intelligence and price analytics for the United Kingdom. It covers both historical performance and the forward outlook to 2035, allowing you to compare cycles, structural shifts, and policy impacts.

• Market size and growth in value and volume terms
• Consumption structure by end-use segments
• Production capacity, output, and cost dynamics
• Trade flows, exporters, importers, and balances
• Price benchmarks, unit values, and margin signals
• Competitive context and market entry conditions

Product coverage

Country coverage

Country profile and benchmarks

This report provides a consistent view of market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United Kingdom. The profile highlights demand structure and trade position, enabling benchmarking against regional and global peers.

Methodology

The analysis is built on a multi-source framework that combines official statistics, trade records, company disclosures, and expert validation. Data are standardized, reconciled, and cross-checked to ensure consistency across time series.

• International trade data (exports, imports, and mirror statistics)
• National production and consumption statistics
• Company-level information from financial filings and public releases
• Price series and unit value benchmarks
• Analyst review, outlier checks, and time-series validation

All data are normalized to a common product definition and mapped to a consistent set of codes. This ensures that comparisons across time are aligned and actionable.

Forecasts to 2035

The forecast horizon extends to 2035 and is based on a structured model that links green coffee demand and supply to macroeconomic indicators, trade patterns, and sector-specific drivers. The model captures both cyclical and structural factors and reflects known policy and technology shifts in the United Kingdom.

• Historical baseline: 2012-2025
• Forecast horizon: 2026-2035
• Scenario-based sensitivity to income growth, substitution, and regulation
• Capacity and investment outlook for major producing companies

Each projection is built from national historical patterns and the broader regional context, allowing the report to show where growth is concentrated and where risks are elevated.

Price analysis and trade dynamics

Prices are analyzed in detail, including export and import unit values, regional spreads, and changes in trade costs. The report highlights how seasonality, freight rates, exchange rates, and supply disruptions influence pricing and margins.

• Price benchmarks by country and sub-region
• Export and import unit value trends
• Seasonality and calendar effects in trade flows
• Price outlook to 2035 under baseline assumptions

Profiles of market participants

Key producers, exporters, and distributors are profiled with a focus on their operational scale, geographic footprint, product mix, and market positioning. This helps identify competitive pressure points, partnership opportunities, and routes to differentiation.

• Business focus and production capabilities
• Geographic reach and distribution networks
• Cost structure and pricing strategy indicators
• Compliance, certification, and sustainability context

How to use this report

• Quantify domestic demand and identify the most attractive segments
• Evaluate export opportunities and prioritize target destinations
• Track price dynamics and protect margins
• Benchmark performance against leading competitors
• Build evidence-based forecasts for investment decisions

This report is designed for manufacturers, distributors, importers, wholesalers, investors, and advisors who need a clear, data-driven picture of green coffee dynamics in the United Kingdom.

FAQ

What is included in the green coffee market in the United Kingdom?

The market size aggregates consumption and trade data, presented in both value and volume terms.

How are the forecasts to 2035 built?

The projections combine historical trends with macroeconomic indicators, trade dynamics, and sector-specific drivers.

Does the report cover prices and margins?

Yes, it includes export and import unit values, regional spreads, and a pricing outlook to 2035.

Which benchmarks are included?

The report benchmarks market size, trade balance, prices, and per-capita indicators for the United Kingdom.

Can this report support market entry decisions?

Yes, it highlights demand hotspots, trade routes, pricing trends, and competitive context.

Surprisingly, his words pushed the dollar to its lowest level since February 2022. Therefore, the weaker dollar made Gold more attractive for investors looking for safe-haven assets.

Normally, a strong dollar attracts safe-haven buyers, but this time the dollar’s drop actually gave a boost to the Gold prices. Traders are now considering the weaker dollar as one of the main reasons behind Gold rise.

Geopolitical Tensions Boost Safe-Haven Demand

Apart from the weaker dollar, ongoing geopolitical tensions was seen as another key factor that helped gold to reach all time high. As we know, President Trump  recently threatened to take control of Greenland, impose tariffs on Europe. He also warned that Canada could face 100% tariffs if it signs a trade deal with China. As a result, demand for Gold, seen as a safe-haven asset, has increased significantly.

Fed Decision in Focus for Markets

On the other hand, investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision scheduled on Wednesday. However, the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in the 3.50% to 3.75% range after cutting rates at three straight meetings late last year.

Hence, markets will pay close attention to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference. Any hawkish signals could limit further losses in the US dollar and weigh on Gold prices. In contrast to this, any dovish remarks could extend Gold’s rally even further.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Holds $5,235 as Bullish Channel Targets $5,410 Next

Natural gas price repeatedly provided negative close below the broken support at $4.100 level, forming a new resistance against the current trading, and stochastic attempt to provide negative momentum by reaching below 50 level will force the price to form new bearish waves, reaching $3.450 and surpassing it might force it to decline towards $3.220, to test high liquidity grab zones.

While the rally above $4.100 and providing bullish close will increase the chances of forming new bullish waves, to attempt to reach $3.370 initially, then waiting for targeting %38.2 Fibonacci correction level near $4.750.

The expected trading range for today is between $3.450 and $4.100

Trend forecast: Bearish

Copper price reached $5.9700 level yesterday to settle below it, affected by the continuation of the contradiction between the main indicators, especially by stochastic exit from the overbought level, which forces it to fluctuate in sideways range by its stability near $5.8300.

We expect the price to be affected by a state of instability due to the ongoing divergence of the main indicators, despite the presence of an opportunity to edge toward $5,720.00. However, exposure to negative pressure may force it to retest the solid support near $5,510.00, while surpassing this level and holding above it will reinforce the chances of recording new gains that might extend towards $6.1200 and $6.2400.

The expected trading range for today is between $5.7500 and $6.000

Trend forecast: Fluctuating

Created on January 27, 2026

Today’s Gold Analysis Overview:

• The overall Gold Trend: Strongly bullish.
• Today’s Gold Support Points: $5,000 – $4,920 – $4,830 per ounce.
• Today’s Gold Resistance Points: $5,100 – $5,210 – $5,300 per ounce.

Today’s Gold Trading Signals:

• Sell gold from the resistance level of $5,140 with a target of $4,800 and a stop-loss at $5,220.
• Buy gold from the support level of $4,920 with a target of $5,200 and a stop-loss at $4,870.

Technical Analysis of Gold Price (XAU/USD) Today:

Gold prices have surged past the $5,000 per ounce threshold, driven by global market volatility fueling a historic rally. According to gold trading platforms, prices continued their ascent, crossing the $5,000 mark for the first time in history and reaching a resistance peak of $5,111 before stabilizing near $5,000 at the start of Tuesday’s session. This movement confirms the bulls’ strong grip on the current trend.

Per analyst forecasts, the gold index gains are fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions and increased investor appetite for “safe haven” assets amid financial concerns in major economies. This surge represents one of the most significant long-term achievements in the history of precious metals trading, bolstering gains that have lifted prices by more than 17% since the beginning of the year.

Silver and other precious metals also reached record highs in tandem with gold’s rise, underscoring the overall strength of the sector as the US dollar weakened against major currencies. Factors contributing to this remarkable rise in gold include persistent macroeconomic uncertainty, unclear central bank policies, and escalating geopolitical tensions. Consequently, many institutional investors have increasingly allocated their capital to gold as a hedge against inflationary pressures and potential monetary instability.

While forecasts from late last year predicted gold would approach or cross $5,000 in 2026, breaking this psychological and technical barrier now represents a significant acceleration of those expectations. Commodity analysts will be watching closely to see if risk sentiment continues to support prices at these record levels, or if profit-taking and shifts in general financial conditions will trigger a pullback. Regardless, gold surpassing $5,000 is a defining moment for the precious metals market, reflecting the growing influence of macroeconomic forces reshaping commodity markets in early 2026.

As previously noted, gold investors appear indifferent to technical indicators reaching “strongly overbought” levels; their focus remains on the persistent fundamental factors strengthening the market. However, it is worth noting that a de-escalation of global tensions could provide the most immediate catalyst for a round of profit-taking selloffs.

Trading Advice:

Dear TradersUp trader, we still recommend investing in gold. Generally, the current momentum suggests a buy advantage on dips as long as the price remains above key support levels.

Ready to trade today’s Gold prediction? Here’s a list of some of the best XAU/USD brokers to check out.

Natural gas price reached $6.150 level yesterday, facing strong negative pressures, which forces it to lose its gains by surpassing the bullish channel’s levels and its stability below $4.100 support.

All that confirms that the price enters a state of instability, to suggest the neutrality until confirm the main trend in the upcoming trading, note that the price attempt to decline below $3.450 level might force it to suffer new losses by targeting 61.8%Fibonacci corrective level at $3.030, while regaining the bullish bias requires providing a new daily close above $4.220 level.

The expected trading range for today is between $3.450 and $4.250

Trend forecast: Neutral

Copper price reached $5.9700 level yesterday to settle below it, affected by the continuation of the contradiction between the main indicators, especially by stochastic exit from the overbought level, which forces it to fluctuate in sideways range by its stability near $5.8300.

We expect the price to be affected by a state of instability due to the ongoing divergence of the main indicators, despite the presence of an opportunity to edge toward $5,720.00. However, exposure to negative pressure may force it to retest the solid support near $5,510.00, while surpassing this level and holding above it will reinforce the chances of recording new gains that might extend towards $6.1200 and $6.2400.

The expected trading range for today is between $5.7500 and $6.000

Trend forecast: Fluctuating